All posts by Matt O

Sharp Angle – Whitmore S.

Whitmore S. (G3)
6F on Dirt at Oaklawn Park (March 18, 2023)
Races Analyzed
: Last 13 Oaklawn Park 6-furlong Graded Stakes at OP
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Avg. Earnings Today's Track
Factor Stats: 11 contenders, 6 winners (46%) $2.20 Win Return, 108 ROI%, 9 Place (69%, $1.30 Place Return), 11 Show (84%, $7.70 Show Return)

A field of 7 salty sprinters are set to square off in Saturday´s $250,0000 Whitmore S. (G3), a race that honors the Breeders' Cup Sprint winner and 7X Oaklawn sprint Stakes winner.

We fired up the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database to look for clues in the 6-furlong graded Stakes in Hot Springs and found that the Avg. Earnings Today´s Track has produced 46% winners and positive across the board returns. In fact, only 2 of the past 13 contenders ranking first in this factor has finished out of the trifecta!

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Earnings Today´s Track slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Beholder Mile

Beholder Mile (G1) at Santa Anita
8F on Dirt (March 11)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 16 8-furlong Grade 1 dirt stakes at Santa Anita
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Best 2 of Last 3 Speed
Factor Stats: 20 contenders, 9 winners (45%, $35.80 Win Return, 189 ROI%), 12 place (60%, $.30 Place Return), 13 Show (65%)

The lone Grade 1 in North America this second weekend in March is the Beholder Mile for older fillies and mares at Santa Anita.

A well-matched field of 9 is set to face the starter so we turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database and found that the Best 2 of Last 3 Speed handicapping factor that has been productive in the one mile Grade 1 dirt stakes at The Great Race Place.

Some 45% of the contenders ranking first in this factor have won, producing a healthy $35.90 Win Return, not to mention that 65% of the contenders have participated in the trifecta.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Best 2 of Last 3 Speed slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
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Sharp Angle – Fountain of Youth

Fountain of Youth S. (G2) at Gulfstream Park
8.5F on Dirt (March 2)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 54 8.5-furlong graded dirt stakes at Gulfstream Park
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Best 2 of Last 3 Speed
Factor Stats: 58 contenders, 22 winners (38%, $32.20 Win Return, 127 ROI%), 37 place 63%, $17.40 Place Return, 47 Show (81%, $13.20 Show Return)

Saturday's Fountain of Youth is the next step on the Gulfstream Park road to the Kentucky Derby and a typically competitive field of 9 is set to break from the starting gate.

We turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database and discovered that the Best 2 of Last 3 Speed handicapping factor has produced very good results in the 8.5 furlong graded dirt stakes in South Florida.

Some 38% of contenders ranking first in this factor have won, producing a healthy $32.20 Win Return and an incredible 81% have factored in the trifecta. Among the winners are two of the past four FOY heroes, Greatest Honour ($4.00) and Ete Indian ($8.60).


Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Best 2 of Last 3 Speed slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Santa Ana S.

Santa Ana S. (G3) at Santa Anita
8.5F on Dirt (February 24)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 64 10-furlong graded turf stakes at Santa Anita
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Last Turn Time
Factor Stats: 86 contenders, 14 winners (16%, $54.60 Win Return, 131 ROI%), 26 Place (30%, $48.20 Place Return), 36 Show (41%)

An octet of older filly and mare turfers square off in the Saturday feature at Santa Anita, the 10-furlong Santa Ana S. (G3). It's a competitive field that will break from the lower portion of Santa Anita's unique downhill course, so we turned to the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database for clues.

Angler tells us that the Last Turn Time handicapping factor has produced 16% winners of the 10 furlong graded turf stakes at The Great Race Place since 2012. While the 16% Win rate is a bit lower than we typically highlight in our Sharp Angles posts, the very healthy Win Return ($54.60) and Place Return ($48.20) made this factor too promising to ignore.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Last Turn Time slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
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Sharp Angle – Risen Star S.

Risen Star S. (G2) at Fair Grounds
9F on Dirt (February 17)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 23 9-furlong graded dirt stakes at Fair Grounds
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Last 3 Late Pace
Factor Stats: 24 contenders, 5 winners (20%, $40.60 Win Return, 184 ROI%), 8 Place (33% $9.60 Place Return) 14 show (58% $4.20 Show Return)

Saturday´s Risen Star Stakes has drawn an incredibly competitive field of 12 sophomores colts vying for a Kentucky Derby berth.

The race begged for a deep dive into the Betmix Angler online handicapping database and we found that Avg. Last 3 Late Pace has been a lucrative handicapping factor for the 9-furlong graded dirt stakes at Fair Grounds.

Over 20% of the contenders ranking first in this factor have found the winner's circle, generating a $40.60 Win Return and nearly 60% have factored in the trifecta, including Zandon in 2022.

Among the recent winners ranking first in this handicapping factor is Modernist, the $27.60 winner of the 2nd division of the Risen Star in 2020, the first year this race was carded at 9 furlongs.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Last 3 Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
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Sharp Angle – Sam F. Davis S.

Sam F. Davis S. (G3) at Tampa Bay Downs
8.5F on Dirt (February 12)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 26 8.5-furlong graded dirt stakes at Tampa Bay Downs
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. of Last 3 E2 Pace
Factor Stats: 26 contenders, 11 winners (42%, $32.60 flat win bet return, 162 ROI%), 12 Place (46%), 14 Show (53%)

The Sam F. Davis Stakes has drawn a full field of 12 Kentucky Derby hopefuls, presenting a big challenge for horseplayers.

We queried the Betmix Angler online handicapping database about the 8.5 furlong graded dirt stakes at Tampa and we uncovered a lucrative handicapping factor that's been especially relevant to the Davis.

We found that the Avg. of Last 3 E2 Pace factor has pointed to 42% winners of this race type overall and, more importantly, to the last SIX Sam F. Davis winners:
2018: Flameaway ($22.80)
2019: Well Defined ($16.00)
2020: Sole Volante ($13.60)
2021: Candy Many Rocket ($8.20)
2022: Classic Causeway ($5.20)
2023: Litigate ($7.60)

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. of Last 3 E2 Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles u

Sharp Angle – Holy Bull S.

Holy Bull S. (G3) at Gulfstream Park
8.5F on Dirt (February 3)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 52 8.5-furlong graded dirt stakes at Gulfstream Park
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Best Speed Fast Track
Factor Stats: 61 contenders, 27 winners (44%, $65.60 Win Return, 153 ROI%), 35 place (57%, 4.40 Place Return) & 46 Show (75%, $5.30 Show Return)

Fierceness parlayed his dominant Breeders' Cup Juvenile victory into Eclipse Award hardware this week and he kicks off his 3-year-old campaign in Saturday's $250,000 Holy Bull Stakes (G3) at Gulfstream Park.

He'll face 7 rivals in the Holy Bull and the main questions for handicappers is "is he vulnerable?".

We queried the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database for clues and found that the Best Speed Fast Track factor has been key in the 8.5 furlong graded dirt stakes at Gulfstream and in the Holy Bull specifically.

Some 44% of contenders ranking first in this factor have won, producing a healthy $65.60 Win Return. Among the winners are six Holy Bull heroes in the last decade - Greatest Honour ($7.60) winner of one of the Holy Bull divisions in 2021, preceded by Audible ($8.40), Moyhamen ($2.60), Upstart ($6.20), Cairo Prince ($6.20) and Itsmyluckyday ($11.40).

What's more is the fact that 75% of the contenders have hit the board, so it surely looks wise strongly consider this factor into your Holy Bull wagering strategy.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Best Speed Fast Track slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
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Sharp Angle – Pegasus World Cup

Pegasus World Cup (G1)
9F on Dirt at Gulfstream Park (January 27)
Races Analyzed
: Last 29 Gulfstream Park 9-furlong Graded dirt stakes
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Speed Last Race
Factor Stats: 34 contenders, 15 winners (44%) $22.40 Win Return, 132 ROI%, 22 Place (64%) $15.90 Place Return, 27 Show (79%) $13.20 Show Return.

Racing fans will be treated to the first big Saturday of 2024 when Gulfstream Park offers its annual Pegasus World Cup card.

We turned to the Betmix online handicapping database for a deeper perspective on the Pegasus and the query turned up a positive handicapping factor.

The Speed Last Race factor has pointed to 44% winners in the 9-furlong Graded dirt stakes at Gulfstream Park over the past 11 years, producing a very healthy $22.40 Win Return. The place/show returns are also double-digit plus figures.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Speed Last Race slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
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Sharp Angle – Sunshine Classic S.

Sunshine Classic S. at Gulfstream Park
8.5F on Dirt (January 20)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 128 8.5-furlong dirt stakes at Gulfstream Park
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Best Speed Fast Track
Factor Stats: 148 contenders, 50 winners (33%, $50.80 Win Return, 117 ROI%), 71 place (48%), 64% Show

A salty field of Florida-breds face the starter in the $75,000 Sunshine Classic, the Saturday feature at Gulfstream Park.

A deep dive into the Betmix Angler online handicapping databases reveals that Best Speed Fast Track has been a profitable handicapping factor in the 8.5 furlong dirts stakes at the Hallandale oval.

One-third of the contenders ranking first in this factor have won, producing a healthy $50.80 Win Return, with two-thirds factoring in the trifecta.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Best Speed Fast Track slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
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Sharp Angle – Likely Exchange S.

Likely Exchange S. at Turfway Park
8F on All Weather (January 13)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 20 Turfway Park Stakes at 8F
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Jockey 6 Month Win %
Factor Stats: 20 contenders, 6 winners (30%, $33.32 Win Return, 183 ROI%), 7 Place (35%, $1.04 Place Return), 9 Show (45%, $3.84 Show Return)

A field of 11 fillies and mares square off in a highly competitive renewal of the $125,000 Likely Exchange S. at Turfway Park

We scanned the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database and found that the Jockey 6 Month Win % handicapping factor has generated some very good percentages in these 8-furlong Stakes in Northern Kentucky. The Win % is 30%, generating a $33.32 Win Return, and plus Returns across the board.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Jockey 6 Month Win % slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
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