Handicapping Factors used in BETMIX

To see how these factors can be used in Betmix, take a look at the Free Race of the Day.

Each race you handicap is different, and depending on the race type, some factors will be more important than others.  We analyze each race in our database and provide you with the information you need to make an informed handicapping decision.  For each race type we will show you the best overall factors, the factors with the highest Win %, Place %, Show %, Win ROI, Place ROI, Show ROI and much more.  When you know which factor is the most important you can focus on building a mix that weighs that data heavily.  Here is an example of the data you will see for each race:

Handicapping_Factor_Details

The above example is based on data for 8f Dirt Allowance races at Belmont.  For each race track, distance, surface and class the data will be different.  In this race we can see that the best overall factor is Avg Lifetime earnings. Looking at each column in the chart you can see the details for that particular factor.  Looking at this data we know that the horse with highest Avg. Lifetime Earnings wins 8f Dirt Allowance races at Belmont 38% of the time, it shows (runs at least 3rd) 73% of the time.  If you would have bet $2 win on the horse with the highest Avg. Lifetime Earnings in each previous similar race you would have made a profit of $22.90.

Each column can be sorted, and you can look at all factors, or only factors within specific groups (Speed, Pace, Earnings, Trainer/Jockey, Pedigree, Form, Class).  The handicapping data provided to you in Betmix is the most accurate and detailed information you will find when handicapping horse races.  Take a look at our free race of the day to see how you can use this data to win more races.

SPEED FACTORS
Best Lifetime Speed Number: This is the best speed number the horse has run in its lifetime regardless of date, surface, or track condition.

Best Speed Number at Today’s Track: This number represents the fastest number run by the horse at the track at which he is competing today. If the horse has never run on the track before, he will not have a number. Use this number more heavily when handicapping a race where several of the horses have competed at today’s track, or when you are trying to find a “horse for the course” – which means a horse that may prefer one track over another.

Best Speed Turf: This number represents the horses best speed number on a turf surface. Great for handicapping turf races, but not very useful on a dirt track. There factor can be used for a horse that is running for the first time on an all weather surface, as it is believed that some horses who perform well on turf also like an all weather surface.

Best Speed Fast Track: This number represents the highest speed figure earned by the horse when running on a fast dirt track. Use sparingly when the track is muddy or sloppy.

Best Speed Off Track: This number represents the highest speed figure earned by the horse when running on an “Off Track” – muddy, sloppy, sealed, etc.

Best Speed Distance: This number represents the highest speed figure earned by the horse when running at today’s distance, for example if the distance of today’s race is 6 furlongs, this number would represent the best speed number this horse has earned running at the 6F distance.

Best Speed Last 3: When considering the horse’s last three races, this is the highest number earned in those 3.

Avg. Speed Last 3: This factor takes the speed figures earned by the horse in his last three starts and averages them. It does not consider what distance or surface the figures were earned on.

Avg. Best 2 of Last 3: This factor looks at the last 3 races, finds the best 2 speed numbers of the three and averages those. This is a powerful factor since it tosses the lowest number which may have been due to trouble in the race, off track, etc. Again, surface, distance and condition of track are not considered in this factor.

Best Speed All Weather: This number represents the highest speed figure earned by the horse when running on an all weather surface.

Speed Last Race: This number represents the speed figure earned by the horse in his last start.

FORM FACTORS

Win Percent: The percentage of races the horse has won

In The Money Percent: The percentage of times the horse has run 1st, 2nd or 3rd.

Horses beaten (% avg placement last 5 races):  This number looks at where a horse finished in a race and determines how many horses he beat in that race. A horse that finishes 2nd in a 5 horse race beats 3 horses, or 60% of the field. A horse that finishes 4th in a 10 horse race beats 6 horses, or 60% of the field. This number is useful for determining how well the horse has been spotted by his trainer. A horse that is beating a larger percentage of horses in his races is running at a level where he is competitive.

Distance worked since last race: This factor looks at the combined distance of the workouts for a horse since his last start.  If the horse worked 3f, 4f, 4f since his last race he would have a total of 11 furlongs of work.

Days Since Last Race: The number of days since the horse's last start.

Last Finish Position: The finish position of the horse in his last start.

PACE FACTORS

Last E1 Pace: This number represents how fast the horse ran from the start of the race to the 1st call. In a sprint race (7F or less) the 1st call will be at 2F, in a route (races longer than 7f) the first call will be at 4F. Turning on E1 pace by itself will give you a good idea of which horses will be running early, and help you determine how the race may shape up.

Last E2 Pace: This number represents how fast the horse ran from the start of the race to the 2nd call. In a sprint race (7F or less) the 2ndt call will be at 4F, in a route (races longer than 7f) the 2nd call will be at 6F.

Last Turn Time: This number represents how fast the horse ran between the first two calls, and is calculated by subtracting the E1 pace number from the E2 pace number.

Avg. of last 3 E1 pace: This number represents the average of the last 3 E1 pace figures the horse has earned.


Avg. of last 3 E2 pace: This number represents the average of the last 3 E2 pace figures the horse has earned.

Avg. of last 3 turn times: This number represents the average of the last 3 turn time figures the horse has earned.

Last late pace: This number represents how fast the horse ran from the 2nd call to the finish of the race. Late pace is often a big factor in turf route races and again should be looked at by itself to see which horses may be running late.

Avg. of last 3 late pace: This number represents the average of the last 3 late pace figures the horse has earned.

EARNINGS FACTORS

Avg. earnings today’s distance: This is a dollar figure representing the avg. amount the horse has earned per start when running at the same distance as today’s race. The earnings figures are very useful to determine suitability for today’s track, surface, distance, etc.

Avg. earnings today’s track: This is a dollar figure representing the avg. amount the horse has earned per start when running at the same track as today’s race is being run.

Avg. turf earnings: This is a dollar figure representing the avg. amount the horse has earned per start when running on the turf.

Avg. all weather earnings: This is a dollar figure representing the avg. amount the horse has earned per start when running on an all weather surface. For example, polytrack or Tapeta surfaces. Keeneland, Arlington, Del Mar, and Turfway are examples of racetracks that use an all weather surface. Certain horses tend to prefer or dislike all weather surfaces and this factor is useful for determining that.

Avg. off track earnings: This is a dollar figure representing the avg. amount the horse has earned per start when running on an “off track”. That is a track that is rated as muddy, sloppy, etc.

Avg. lifetime earnings: This is a dollar figure representing the avg. amount the horse has earned per start for his career. This figure includes all races without regard to track, surface, condition, etc.

TRAINER/JOCKEY FACTORS

Trainer current meet: This number tells you the percentage of races that the trainer has won at the current meet (same racetrack), as today’s race. This factor is more useful when the meet has been running for several weeks, or when the trainer is running several horses at the meet.

Jockey current meet: This number tells you the percentage of races that the jockey has won at the current meet (same racetrack), as todays race. This factor is more useful when the meet has been running for several weeks, or when the jockey is riding several horses at the meet.

Trainer current meet: This number tells you the percentage of races that the trainer has won during the current year. Trainer and Jockey win percentages are very important. The best trainers get the best horses, and the best jockeys ride those horses.

Jockey current meet: This number tells you the percentage of races that the jockey has won during the current year. Trainer and Jockey win percentages are very important. The best trainers get the best horses, and the best jockeys ride those horses.

Trainer Jockey Combo Win% Meet: This factor looks at the number of times the trainer and jockey have teamed up during the meet and provides their win percentage.  If Castellano had ridden for Pletcher 10 times during the meet and won 6 races the percentage would be 60%.

Trainer Jockey Combo ROI Meet: This factor looks at the number of times the trainer and jockey have teamed up during the meet and provides the ROI on a flat $2 win bet.

PEDIGREE FACTORS

Dirt Pedigree rating: Pedigree rating measures the quality and suitability of the horse's breeding for races run on the dirt. Based on an analysis of hundreds of thousands of starts in North America, each start of all offspring from the Sire, Dam, and Damsire are evaluated and measured for their individual racing aptitudes and preferences. Pedigree factors are very useful in evaluating Maiden Races, when there is limited information about the starters.

Mud Pedigree rating: Pedigree rating measures the quality and suitability of the horse's breeding for races run on wet dirt surface. Obviously, this factor is most important when evaluating a race being run in bad weather.

Turf Pedigree rating: Pedigree rating measures the quality and suitability of the horse's breeding for races run on the turf.

Distance Pedigree rating: Pedigree rating measures the quality and suitability of the horse's breeding for races run at today’s distance.

CLASS FACTORS

Last Race Class: The Class value of a race is computed by looking at all the horses in a race.  We look at how fast those horses have run in their careers, over the last few races, how much they have earned lifetime and recently, as well as the purse values of the races they have been running in.  The Class factor is a comprehensive view of how good the horses in a race were.  The last Race Class value is for the most recent race.

Avg. Last 3 Race Classes:  The average class value for the last 3 races the horse has run in.

Last Purse: The purse value of the last race the horse was in.

Average Last 3 Purses: The average of the last three purse values of the races the horse was in.