10F on dirt (August 26)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 9 Grade 1's for three-year-olds at 10F on dirt
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Last Late Pace
Factor Stats: 9 contenders, 3 winners (33%, $31.60 flat win bet profit, 275 ROI% & $5.30 flat place bet profit)
It makes intuitive sense that late runners should excel at the American classic distance of a mile and a quarter. One of the many advantages of using handicapping software like Betmix is the ability to move theory into reality. We know by using Betmix Angler that two of the last four Travers winners (and a recent Alabama Stakes winner) have ranked first in Last Late Pace. Both of the Travers winners paid double digits and would later be named Eclipse Champions - Will Take Charge the $21.20 winner in 2013 and Arrogate who paid $25.40 last year, a payout that looks especially absurd with the benefit of hindsight.
Results: Good Samaritan 5th at $3.85-1