Twilight Derby S. (G2)
9F on turf (October 28)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 22 3yo stakes on turf
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Last Speed
Factor Stats: 29 contenders, 11 winners (38%, $11.60 flat win bet profit, 120 ROI%), 23 win/place/show (79%, $9.50.40 place bet profit & $14.00 show bet profit).
The late, great Tom Petty sang that 'the waiting is the hardest part' and the waiting for next week's Breeders' Cup is no exception. One remedy is to cash some tickets and this week's Sharp Angle looks especially solid for the October 28 Twilight Derby. Using the Betmix Angler handicapping software to analyze the past 22 grass stakes for three-year-olds at Santa Anita we find that Speed Last Race has pointed to the winners of half these contests. Even more impressive is the fact that nearly 80% of the 29 total contenders have hit the board. This sample includes two of the past three Twilight Derby victors - Om ($3.00) in 2015 and Long on Value ($25.00) the year prior.