After providing some angles for the Breeders' Cup races at Santa Anita, we'll continue on looking for angles in weekend stakes races. They're running the Commonwealth Turf Stakes at Churchill Downs on Saturday, November 12 and we found a very nice angle for that contest.
Commonwealth Turf Stakes (G3)
(8.5 furlongs on the turf at Churchill Downs)
Races Analyzed: 13 Churchill Downs Graded races at 8.5 furlongs on turf
Date Range: January 1, 2014 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Turf Pedigree Rating
Factor Stats: Has won 4 of the 13 races (30%) for $108.80 Win ROI
This factor has yielded two very juicy winners in the past calendar year in Camelot Kitten ($39.40), winner of the American Turf on Derby Day this year, and Isabella Sings ($56.60) who scored in the Mrs. Revere Stakes at Churchill last fall. Both of those winners are straight three-year-olds, as are the runner competing in the Commonwealth Turf.
The angles presented in the Breeders' Cup Sharp Angles series pointed to a trio of winners on Championship Weekend:
New Money Honey (Ranked 1st In the Money %) won the Juvenile Fillies Turf, paying $15
Beholder (Ranked 1st in Avg. Speed Last 3) won the Distaff, paying $8.60
Arrogate (Ranked 1st in Best Last Speed) won the Classic, paying $5.40
The Distaff/Classic double with the two second choices paid $28.40
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