All posts by Matt O

Sharp Angle – Lexington Stakes

Lexington S. (G3) at 8.5F on Dirt (April 13)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 25 8.5F Graded dirt Stakes for 3YOs at Keeneland
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Last 3 Purse
Factor Stats: 30 contenders, 5 winners (16%, $20.60 Win Return, 134 ROI%), 11 Place (36%, $5.20 Place Return), 15 Show (50%)

Last call for Kentucky Derby points! That will be the underlying theme when the bugler beckons 10 sophomore colts postward for the Lexington Stakes on Saturday afternoon at Keeneland.

It's been an exceptionally competitive Derby prep season, as evidenced by the fact that 45 qualifying points doesn't guarantee a spot in the 2024 Run for the Roses. Horseplayers face yet another handicapping challenge with this Lexington field so we turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for insights.

Angler shows us that the Avg. Last 3 Purse handicapping factor has produced good results in the 8.5 furlong graded dirt stakes at Keeneland, pointing to 16% winners who have produced a $20.60 Win Return. The sample includes 3 of the past 6 Lexington winners - Senior Investment (the $24.20 winner in 2017), My Boy Jack ($5/2018) and King Fury ($38.40/2021).

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Last 3 Purse slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
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Sharp Angle – Santa Anita Derby

Santa Anita Derby (G1) at Santa Anita
9F on Dirt (April 8)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 62 9-furlong graded dirt stakes at Santa Anita
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Last 3 Late Pace
Factor Stats: 61 contenders, 2 winners (32%, $14.70 Win Return, 111 ROI%), 36 place (53%, $9.90 Place Return, 46 show (68%)

A field of 8 Classics hopefuls face off in Saturday's historic G1 Santa Anita Derby.

We surveyed the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for clues to success in the 9-furlong graded dirt Stakes at The Great Race Place and found that Avg. Last 3 Late Pace has produced 32% winners that have generated a $14.70 Win Return.

Among those are a quintet of Santa Anita Derby champs since 2014 - California Chrome ($3.40), Dortmund ($3.20), Roadster ($8.20) and the last two champs - Taiba ($10.60) and Practical Move ($4.00).

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Last 3 Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
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Sharp Angle – Florida Derby

Florida Derby (G1) at Gulfstream Park
9F on Dirt (April 1)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 33 9-furlong graded dirt stakes at Gulfstream Park
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Last Turn Time
Factor Stats: 45 contenders, 14 winners (31%, $101.20 Win Return, 212 ROI%), 19 place (42%), 21 Show (46%)

Saturday's Florida Derby caps off an exciting 2024 South Florida route to the Kentucky Derby and is one of 10 Stakes races on the fascinating Gulfstream Park card.

We took the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for a spin for some Florida Derby insights & trends and found that the Last Turn Time handicapping factor has pointed to around one-third of the winners of the past 45 9-furlong graded dirt events at the Hallandale oval. And the Win Return is a whopping $101.20!

The sample includes 5 recent Florida Derby champs, including the double digit winner Known Agenda ($12.80) in 2021, as well as last year's runner-up Mage.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Last Turn Time slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
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Sharp Angle – Jeff Ruby S.

Jeff Ruby S. (G2)
9F on All Weather at Turfway Park (March 23, 2023)
Races Analyzed
: Last 17, 9-furlong Stakes at Turfway
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Average Speed Last 3
Factor Stats: 18 contenders, 5 winners (27%) $8.64 Win Return, 124 ROI%, 9 Place (50%, $5.10 Place Return), 10 Show (55%, $3.52 Show Return)

An overflow field has been drawn for the rich Jeff Ruby Steaks, the last stop on the Turfway Park road to the Kentucky Derby.

It's a typically tricky race for horseplayers with contenders descending from points all across North America, with varying levels of experience over an all-weather surface.

We fired up the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database to look for clues in the 8-furlong Stake in Florence (Y'all) and found that the Avg. Speed Last 3 has produced 27% winners and positive across the board returns. Among the winners are 3 of the past 6 Ruby winners, Blended Citizen ($14.40), Somelikeithotbrown ($3.20) and last year's champ Two Phil's ($7.64), who would then finish a valiant 2nd in the Kentucky Derby.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Speed Last 3 slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
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Sharp Angle – Whitmore S.

Whitmore S. (G3)
6F on Dirt at Oaklawn Park (March 18, 2023)
Races Analyzed
: Last 13 Oaklawn Park 6-furlong Graded Stakes at OP
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Avg. Earnings Today's Track
Factor Stats: 11 contenders, 6 winners (46%) $2.20 Win Return, 108 ROI%, 9 Place (69%, $1.30 Place Return), 11 Show (84%, $7.70 Show Return)

A field of 7 salty sprinters are set to square off in Saturday´s $250,0000 Whitmore S. (G3), a race that honors the Breeders' Cup Sprint winner and 7X Oaklawn sprint Stakes winner.

We fired up the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database to look for clues in the 6-furlong graded Stakes in Hot Springs and found that the Avg. Earnings Today´s Track has produced 46% winners and positive across the board returns. In fact, only 2 of the past 13 contenders ranking first in this factor has finished out of the trifecta!

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Earnings Today´s Track slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
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Sharp Angle – Beholder Mile

Beholder Mile (G1) at Santa Anita
8F on Dirt (March 11)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 16 8-furlong Grade 1 dirt stakes at Santa Anita
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Best 2 of Last 3 Speed
Factor Stats: 20 contenders, 9 winners (45%, $35.80 Win Return, 189 ROI%), 12 place (60%, $.30 Place Return), 13 Show (65%)

The lone Grade 1 in North America this second weekend in March is the Beholder Mile for older fillies and mares at Santa Anita.

A well-matched field of 9 is set to face the starter so we turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database and found that the Best 2 of Last 3 Speed handicapping factor that has been productive in the one mile Grade 1 dirt stakes at The Great Race Place.

Some 45% of the contenders ranking first in this factor have won, producing a healthy $35.90 Win Return, not to mention that 65% of the contenders have participated in the trifecta.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Best 2 of Last 3 Speed slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
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Sharp Angle – Fountain of Youth

Fountain of Youth S. (G2) at Gulfstream Park
8.5F on Dirt (March 2)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 54 8.5-furlong graded dirt stakes at Gulfstream Park
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Best 2 of Last 3 Speed
Factor Stats: 58 contenders, 22 winners (38%, $32.20 Win Return, 127 ROI%), 37 place 63%, $17.40 Place Return, 47 Show (81%, $13.20 Show Return)

Saturday's Fountain of Youth is the next step on the Gulfstream Park road to the Kentucky Derby and a typically competitive field of 9 is set to break from the starting gate.

We turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database and discovered that the Best 2 of Last 3 Speed handicapping factor has produced very good results in the 8.5 furlong graded dirt stakes in South Florida.

Some 38% of contenders ranking first in this factor have won, producing a healthy $32.20 Win Return and an incredible 81% have factored in the trifecta. Among the winners are two of the past four FOY heroes, Greatest Honour ($4.00) and Ete Indian ($8.60).


Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Best 2 of Last 3 Speed slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
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Sharp Angle – Santa Ana S.

Santa Ana S. (G3) at Santa Anita
8.5F on Dirt (February 24)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 64 10-furlong graded turf stakes at Santa Anita
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Last Turn Time
Factor Stats: 86 contenders, 14 winners (16%, $54.60 Win Return, 131 ROI%), 26 Place (30%, $48.20 Place Return), 36 Show (41%)

An octet of older filly and mare turfers square off in the Saturday feature at Santa Anita, the 10-furlong Santa Ana S. (G3). It's a competitive field that will break from the lower portion of Santa Anita's unique downhill course, so we turned to the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database for clues.

Angler tells us that the Last Turn Time handicapping factor has produced 16% winners of the 10 furlong graded turf stakes at The Great Race Place since 2012. While the 16% Win rate is a bit lower than we typically highlight in our Sharp Angles posts, the very healthy Win Return ($54.60) and Place Return ($48.20) made this factor too promising to ignore.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Last Turn Time slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
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Sharp Angle – Risen Star S.

Risen Star S. (G2) at Fair Grounds
9F on Dirt (February 17)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 23 9-furlong graded dirt stakes at Fair Grounds
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Last 3 Late Pace
Factor Stats: 24 contenders, 5 winners (20%, $40.60 Win Return, 184 ROI%), 8 Place (33% $9.60 Place Return) 14 show (58% $4.20 Show Return)

Saturday´s Risen Star Stakes has drawn an incredibly competitive field of 12 sophomores colts vying for a Kentucky Derby berth.

The race begged for a deep dive into the Betmix Angler online handicapping database and we found that Avg. Last 3 Late Pace has been a lucrative handicapping factor for the 9-furlong graded dirt stakes at Fair Grounds.

Over 20% of the contenders ranking first in this factor have found the winner's circle, generating a $40.60 Win Return and nearly 60% have factored in the trifecta, including Zandon in 2022.

Among the recent winners ranking first in this handicapping factor is Modernist, the $27.60 winner of the 2nd division of the Risen Star in 2020, the first year this race was carded at 9 furlongs.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Last 3 Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
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Sharp Angle – Sam F. Davis S.

Sam F. Davis S. (G3) at Tampa Bay Downs
8.5F on Dirt (February 12)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 26 8.5-furlong graded dirt stakes at Tampa Bay Downs
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. of Last 3 E2 Pace
Factor Stats: 26 contenders, 11 winners (42%, $32.60 flat win bet return, 162 ROI%), 12 Place (46%), 14 Show (53%)

The Sam F. Davis Stakes has drawn a full field of 12 Kentucky Derby hopefuls, presenting a big challenge for horseplayers.

We queried the Betmix Angler online handicapping database about the 8.5 furlong graded dirt stakes at Tampa and we uncovered a lucrative handicapping factor that's been especially relevant to the Davis.

We found that the Avg. of Last 3 E2 Pace factor has pointed to 42% winners of this race type overall and, more importantly, to the last SIX Sam F. Davis winners:
2018: Flameaway ($22.80)
2019: Well Defined ($16.00)
2020: Sole Volante ($13.60)
2021: Candy Many Rocket ($8.20)
2022: Classic Causeway ($5.20)
2023: Litigate ($7.60)

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. of Last 3 E2 Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles u