Category Archives: Handicapping Blog

Sharp Angle – Red Smith S.

Red Smith S. at Aqueduct
11F on Turf (November 9)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 35 graded turf stakes at Aqueduct, 11 furlongs or longer
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Jockey This Year
Factor Stats: 60 contenders, 12 winners (20%, $40.10 Win Return, 133 ROI%), 23 Place (38%, $2.60 Place Return), 29 Show (48%)

A field of 9 evenly matched male turf marathoners square off in the G2 Red Smith Stakes on Saturday at Aqueduct so we turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for clues to cashiing.

Angler tells us that the horse ranking first in the Trainer Current Year handicapping factor has won 20% of the graded turf marathons at Aqueduct over the past 12 years while generating positive Win and Place Returns.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Trainer Current Year slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Breeders’ Cup Classic

Breeders' Cup Classic at Del Mar
10F on Dirt (November 2)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 14 Grade 1 dirt stakes going 10 furlongs at Del Mar
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Avg. Best 2 of Last 3 Speed
Factor Stats: 18 contenders, 8 winners (44%, $43.00 Win Return, 219 ROI%), 9 Place (50%, 6.30 Place Return), 11 Show (61%, $1.50 Show Return)

The Breeders' Cup returns to Del Mar this weekend and will be anchored by an especially strong and compelling edition of the Classic.

The Betmix Angler online handicapping was built to help horseplayers with tough races like this one and once again it provides some important insights.

Eight of the past 14 winners of the 10-furlong Grade 1 dirt stakes at Del Mar have ranked first in the Average Best 2 of Last 3 Speed handicapping factor. These winners have also generated positive across the board returns, including $43.00 Win Return!

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Average Best 2 of Last 3 Speed slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Fayette S.

Fayette S. (G2) at Keeneland
9F on Dirt (October 26)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 45 graded 9-furlong dirt stakes at Keeneland
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Avg. Earnings Today's Distance
Factor Stats: 51 contenders, 16 winners (31%, $55.76 Win Return, 154 ROI%), 24 Place (47%, 3.26%), 27 Show (52%)

There is no shortage of graded stakes opportunities for older males this time of year but Saturday´s Fayette S. has drawn a very salty field of 10.

The Betmix online handicapping database helps cut through all of the noise and focus in on the top handicapping factors for each racetype. In this instance, Angler tells us that the Average Earnings Today's Distance handicapping factor has pointed to 31% winners who have generated a very nice $55.76 Win Return.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Average Earnings Today's Distance slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angles – Raven Run S. & Perryville S.

Raven Run S. (G2) & Perryville S. (G3)
7F on Dirt (October 19)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 33 Keeneland graded dirt stakes at 7F
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Jockey Current Meet
Factor Stats: 33 contenders, 7 winners (21%, $23.34 Win Bet Return, 135 ROI%), 13 Place (39%, $4.36 Place Bet Return, 14 Show (42%)

Keeneland fans and bettors will be treated to a pair of highly competitive 7-furlong Graded stakes for the sophomore set on Saturday, the G2 Raven Run S. for fillies and the G3 Perryville for colts & geldings.

We scanned the Betmix Angler online handicapping database looking for clues to handicapping success in these 7-furlong graded dirt stakes at Keeneland and found that Jockey Current Meet has productive & profitable.

Over 20% of the contenders carrying the meet's top rider have cashed while generating a $23.34 Win Return.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Jockey Current Meet slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup

8.5F on Turf (October 13)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 12 9-furlong turf stakes at Keeneland
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Last Late Pace
Factor Stats: 14 contenders, 4 winners (38%, $146.20 Win Return, 615 ROI%), 6 Place/Show (42%, $45 Place Return, $13.10 Show Return)

After the past couple weekend of plentiful Breeders' Cup preps, racing fans and horseplayers will have to settle for a lone Grade 1 this weekend, the Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup at Keeneland. But at least it's a good one with a field 10 of sophomore fillies set to face the starter.

The Betmix Angler online handicapping database has all the data needed to look for successful handicapping factors for any racetypes. In this instance, Angler reveals that the Last Late Pace factor has been very lucrative in the 9-furlong turf stakes on the Keeneland lawn.

One third of the contenders have crossed the wire first, including 74-1 Ever Dangerous (2020 Bryan Station S.) and a trio of recent QE II heroines.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Last Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angles – Alcibiades & Breeders’ Futurity

Alcibiades S & Breeders Futurity at Keeneland
8.5F on Dirt (October 4 & 5)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 41 G1 8.5-furlong dirt stakes at Keeneland
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Last E 1 Pace
Factor Stats: 49 contenders, 7 winners (14%, $101.00 Win Return, 203 ROI%), 12 Place (24%, $3.80 Place Return), 20 Show (40%, $15.58 Show Return)

Here we go! Keeneland roars back to life with typically deep and contentious cards to open up the 2024 Fall Meeting.

Perhaps the two toughest contests over the first three days of the meet are the two Grade 1's for the juvenile set, Friday's Alcibiades and Saturday's Breeders' Futurity. Each as drawn typically deep and contentious fields.

So what does the Betmix Angler online handicapping database have to say about these races? Angler tells us that the Last E1 Pace handicapping factor has pointed to 14% winners of the recent 8.5 furlong dirt Grade 1´s at the historic Lexington oval.

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The whopping $101 Win Return was certainly helped by 70-1 Knicks Go in 2018 but this factor has also pointed to other double digit winners like Gomo, who paid $12.60 to his backers in the 2015 Futurity and last year's Alcibiades heroine Wonder Wheel ($15).

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Last E1 Pace  slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Ack Ack S.

Ack Ack S. (G3)
8F on Dirt at Churchill Downs (September 28)
Races Analyzed
: Last 41 Churchill Downs 8-furlong dirt graded stakes
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Trainer/Jockey Combo Meet
Factor Stats: 27 contenders, 6 winners (22%), $74.80 win bet return, 238 ROI%, 8 Place (29%), $21.88 Place Return, 10 Show (37%) $12.10 Show Return.

Racing fans are treated a slew of Breeders' Cup preps this weekend, including the Ack Ack S. at Churchill Downs. The race has drawn a field of seven salty sprinter/milers vying for a berth in the Dirt Mile.

These tough and competitive contests are made for Betmix Angler analysis and a query of this powerful online database has uncovered a profitable handicapping factor.

Angler tells us that class rules in the 8-furlong dirt graded stakes under the Twin Spires as Trainer/Jockey Combo Meet has pointed to 22% winners, 37% in-the-money finishes and positive Returns for the Win, Place and Show spots.

This factor has also pointed to three recent Ack Ack winners, including the double digit winners Tom's Ready ($11.80) and Mr. Freeze ($14.80).

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Trainer/Jockey Combo Meet slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Pennsylvania Derby

Pennsylvania Derby. at Parx
9F on Dirt (September 21)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 10 editions of the Pennsylvania Derby
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Best Speed This Distance
Factor Stats: 17 contenders, 7 winners (41%, $62.60 Win Return, 284 ROI%), 10 Place (58%, $9.60 Place Return), 11 Show (64%, $1.10 Show Return)

Saturday's Pennsylvania Derby has drawn another deep and competitive field of 11 3-year-olds including our 2024 Santa Anita Derby and Preakness Stakes champions.

The Betmix Angler online handicapping database was built for tough handicapping challenges like this one. A dive into Angler tells us that the Best Speed This Distance handicapping factor has produced 7 of the past 10 Pa Derby winners. Those victors include the 2019 upsetter Math Wizard who scored at 31-1 and last year's favored winner Saudi Crown.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Best Speed This Distance slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Sensible Lady S.

Sensible Lady S. at Laurel
6F on Turf (September 14)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 25 6-furlong turf stakes at Laurel
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Trainer 1-Year Win %
Factor Stats: 27 contenders, 3 winners (11%, $46.00 Win Return, 185 ROI%), 8 Place (29%, $15.40 Place Return), 9 Show (33%)

It's a 3-Stakes Saturday at Laurel this weekend, including the $100,000 Sensible Lady Stakes that drew an overflow field of distaff turf sprinters.

We turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for guidance with this ultra tough handicapping puzzle and discovered that the Trainer 1-Year Win % handicapping factor has yielded a $46 Win Return in this race type along with double digit Place Return!

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the  Trainer 1-Year Win % slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – John C. Mabee S.

John C. Mabee S. (G2) at Del Mar
9F on Turf (September 7)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 59 9-furlong graded turf stakes at Del Mar
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Jockey Current Meet
Factor Stats: 68 contenders, 19 winners (28%, $36.40 Win Return, 126 ROI%), 28 Place (41%), 36 Show (53%)

The Grade 2 John C. Mabee S. is one of the 5 Stakes on the final weekend of the 2024 Del Mar meeting and a competitive field will face the starter.

We turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for guidance and discovered that 28% of the past 59 9-furlong graded turf stakes at the Pacific shore oval fell to the horse ranking first in the Jockey Current Meet handicapping factor.

The 19 winners in the sample have generated a positive $36.40 Win Return and over 50% of the contenders have factored in the trifecta. So it may be a good idea to go with the hottest jock.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Jockey Current Meet slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
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