Category Archives: Handicapping Blog

Sharp Angle – Sanford Stakes

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 23 6-furlong graded dirt stakes for 2-year-olds
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Jockey Current Year
Factor Stats: 33 contenders, 7 winners (21%, $28.80 Win Return, 143 ROI%), 11 Place (33%, $11.20 Place Return), 13 Show (39%)

Here we go! The first Saturday of the Saratoga meeting features a trio of graded stakes, including the historic Sanford for juvenile colts. A field of 8 is set to face the starter, including a strong morning line favorite, so we turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for some insights.

The world's most powerful online handicapping database tells us that the Jockey This Year handicapping factor has pointed to 21% winners of this race type while generating a $28.80 Win Return and an $11.20 Place Return.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Jockey This Year slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angles – Indiana Derby & Indiana Derby

8.5F on Dirt (July 6)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 21 Horseshoe Indy 8.5-furlong Graded graded dirt stakes
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Last E2 Pace
Factor Stats: 22 contenders, 8 winners (36%, $21.80 Win Return, 149 ROI%), 12 Place (54%, $11.90 Place Return), 16 Show (72%, $6.10 Show Return)

Horseshoe Indianapolis will host its biggest card of the season on Saturday. Horseplayers will be challenged by a total of 8 stakes races, including the graded Indiana Derby and Indiana Oaks for sophomores going a mile and one sixteenth on the main track.

A scan of the Betmix Angler online handicapping database reveals that the Last E2 Pace handicapping factor has pointed 36% winners of this race type while generating a healthy $21.80 Win Return. In fact, this factor has shown plus returns across the board and among the groups are a pair of Derby winners and 6 Oaks heroines.

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Sharp Angle – Stephen Foster S.

Stephen Foster S. (G1) at Churchill Downs
9F on Dirt (June 29)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 16 9-furlong Grade 1 dirt stakes for older horses at Churchill Downs
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Last Late Pace
Factor Stats: 18 contenders, 6 winners (44%, $33.20 Win Return, 192 ROI%), 8 Place (44%, $5.42 Place Return), 9 Show (50%)

Saturday night's Stephen Foster pits a field of nine seasoned older horses seeking Grade 1 glory under the Twin Spires at Churchill Downs. It's also the last chance for North American horseplayers to handicap a Grade 1 race until later on in July.

A scan of the Betmix Angler online handicapping database reveals that the Last Late Pace handicapping factor has pointed to 6 recent winners of this race type at the historic Louisville track. Among the winners is Noble Bird, who scored as the fourth choice in the 2015 edition of the Foster.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Last Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Ohio Derby

Ohio Derby (G3) at Thistledown
9F on Dirt (June 22)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 7 runnings of the Ohio Derby
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Best 2 of Last 3 Speed
Factor Stats: 7 contenders, 4 winners (57%, $31.40 Win Return, 324 ROI%), 5 Place/Show (71%, $7.90 Place Return, $2.30 Show Return)

Saturday's Grade 3 Ohio Derby kicks of the "second season" for the 3-year-old division. A field of 10 lines up for the $500,000 race, including Preakness-placed Catching Freedom who was well supported during the Triple Crown season.

With Catching Freedom the likely heavy fave, handicappers will first have to decide if he´s a legitimate standout or is he worth taking a stand against.

A scan of the Betmix Angler online handicapping database reveals that the Avg. Best 2 of Last 3 Speed handicapping factor has pointed to 4 of the last 7 Ohio Derby champions. This group includes Dean Martini, who rewarded his backers with a $31.20 Win mutuel in 2020 and last year's winner, Two Phil's, who scored as the favorite.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Best 2 of Last 3 Speed slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Salvator Mile

Salvator Mile (G3) at Monmouth Park
8F on Dirt (June 117)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 12 one mile graded dirt stakes at Monmouth Park
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Last Late Pace
Factor Stats: 12 contenders, 3 winners (25%, $148.80 Win Return, 719 ROI%), 6 Place (50%, $41 Place Return), 7 Show (58%, $7.60 Show Return)

Saturday's Salvator Mile is one of four Stakes on the Haskell Preview Day card at Monmouth Park and the race has drawn a competitive field of 8.

The Betmix Angler online handicapping database tells us that one-mile graded dirt stakes at the Jersey Shore are relatively rare - just 12 such contests have carded since 2012.

But Angler also reveals that the Last Late Pace handicapping factor has pointed to three recent Salvator Mile champs, two favorites and one huge longshot. Informative lit up the tote board in 2021, paying a whopping $161.60, while last year's winner, favored Petulante got the money at a $5.20 win mutuel.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Last Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Belmont Stakes

Belmont Stakes (G1) at Saratoga
10F on Dirt (June 8, 2024)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 26 Grade 1 Dirt Stakes at Saratoga
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Jockey Current Year
Factor Stats: 35 contenders, 6 winners (17%, $38.90 Win Return, 155 ROI%), 13 Place (37%, $3.60 Place Return), 18 Show (51%)

We've never seen a Belmont Stakes like the one we'll see on Saturday when 10 sophomore colts break from the gate in front of the Saratoga grandstand.

While the Test of the Champion hasn't been carded at 10 furlongs or away from Belmont Park in recent memory there have been plenty of mile and a quarter Grade 1 dirt stakes at Saratoga from which to draw data.

We scanned the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database for this data and we found that the Jockey Current Year handicapping factor has pointed to 17% winners while generating a very nice $38.90 Win Return.

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Sharp Angle – Jersey Derby

Jersey Derby at Monmouth Park
8F on Turf (June 1, 2024)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 32 ungraded turf Stakes at Monmouth
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Best Speed Last 3
Factor Stats: 34 contenders, 12 winners (35%, $19.60 Win Return, 128 ROI%), 23 Place (67%, $28.20 Place Return), 25 Show (73%, $3.10 Show Return)

Saturday's Jersey Derby at Monmouth Park has drawn a competitive field of 9 sophomore turfers, 8 of whom are looking for their first Stakes victory.

We turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database, that holds data for the past 32 ungraded 8F turf stakes at the Jersey Shore oval for clues to help solve this handicapping puzzle.

Angler tells us that the Best Speed Last 3 handicapping factor has pointed to 35% winners of this race type and that those winners have generated a nice $19.60 Win Return. It's also pointed to some long shots as evidenced by the $28.20 Place Return and has a remarkably consisent identifier of live contenders as shown by the 73% in the money percentage.

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Sharp Angle – Big Drama S.

Big Drama S. at Gulfstream Park
7F on Dirt (May 25)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 140 7-furlong non-graded dirt stakes at Gulfstream Park
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. of Last 3 Late Pace
Factor Stats: 150 contenders, 35 winners (35%, $20.80 Win Return, 106 ROI%), 67 place (44%, $6.80 Place Return), 91 Show (60%, $32.80)

Saturday's $100,000 Big Drama Stakes has drawn a field of salty older middle distance runners for th 7-furling dirt challenged over the Gulfstream Park main oval.

We took the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for a spin for some insights into this race type & trends and found that the Avg. of Last 3 Late Pace handicapping factor has pointed to 23% winners and 60% on the board finishes, all while generating plus Win, Place and Show returns

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. of Last 3 Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Preakness Stakes

Preakness S. (G1) at Pimlico
9.5F on Dirt (May 20, 2023)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 11 Preakness Stakes
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Last Late Pace
Factor Stats: 15 contenders, 3 winners (20%, $34.40 Win Return, 214 ROI%), 4 Place (26%, $12.00 Place Return), 6 Show (40%, $3.00 Place Return)

As usual, the Preakness Stakes offers high intrigue in 2024. Will Mystik Dan become the first Derby winner to capture the Preakness since 2018 or will one of the seven new shooters wear the Black-Eyed Susans?

We turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for insight and found that the Last Late Pace handicapping factor has been productive in the Preakness in recent years.

In fact, the past three Preakness winners have ranked first in this factor and all of them paid double digits - Early Voting ($13.40), Rombauer ($25.60) and Swiss Skydiver ($25.40)!

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Sharp Angle – Man o’ War S.

Man o' War S. (G2) at Belmont at The Big A
11F on Turf (May 11, 2024)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 21 Graded turf stakes, 11 furlongs at Aqueduct
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Last 3 E1 Pace
Factor Stats: 22 contenders, 5 winners (22%, $14.00 Win Return, 133 ROI%), 7 Place (31%, 1.70 Place Return), 9 Show (40%)

The prestigious Man o'War Stakes is one of 4 graded events on the Saturday Belmont at The Big A card in New York and it's drawn a competitive field of salty older grass marathoners.

We turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for some insights into this race type and Angler revealed that the Avg. Last 3 E1 Pace handicapping factor has been profitable. It's pointed to 22% while generating plus Win ($14.90) and Place ($1.70) Returns.

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