Category Archives: Handicapping Blog

Sharp Angle – Harlan’s Holiday S.

Harlan's Holiday S (G3). at Gulfstream Park
8.5F on Dirt (December 21)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 57 Gulfstream Park Graded dirt Stakes at 8.5F
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Best Speed Last 3
Factor Stats: 69 contenders, 29 winners (42%, $55.20 Win Return, 134 ROI%), 40 Place (57% $7.90 Place Return), 51 Show (73%)

A deep field of 8, many with aspirations for next month's rich Pegasus World Cup, goes postward in Saturday's Harlan's Holiday S. (G3) at Gulfstream Park.

We scanned the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database and found that the Best Speed Last 3 handicapping factor has pointed to 42% winners of this racetype. It's also generated a smart $47.20 Win Return along with a plus Place Return.

The winners in this sample include five of the past eight Harlan's Holiday winners, including the last three, O'Connor ($9.20), Skippylongstocking ($8.40) and Fearless ($3.20).

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Best Speed Last 3  slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Holiday Inaugural S. & Holiday Cheer S.

Holiday Inaugural S. & Holiday Cheer S. at Turfway Park
6F on All Weather (December 14)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 29 6-furlong stakes at Turfway Park
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st In the Money %
Factor Stats: 42 contenders, 11 winners (11%) $55.40 Win Return (166 ROI%), 14 Place (33%), 16 Show (38%).

There's $1 million worth of prize money on the line in the 4 Stakes on the fantastic Saturday card at Turfway Park. So it's no surprise that the drew large and highly competitive fields, including an overflow field in both the $250,000 Holiday Cheer S. for older sprinters and it's distaff counterpart, the $250,000 Holiday Inaugural.

We turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for some additional perspective and found that horses ranking first in the In The Money % handicapping factor have won 21% of the 6-furlong Stakes at the Northern Kentucky oval. These winners have produced a very juicy $55.40 Win Return as well along with being part of the trifecta nearly 40% of the time.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the In The Money % slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Cigar Mile & Go For Wand S.

Cigar Mile (G2) & Go For Wand S. (G3) at Aqueduct
8F on Dirt (December 7)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 57 8-furlong graded dirt stakes at Aqueduct
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Last Turn Time
Factor Stats: 71 contenders, 12 winners (17%) $90.80 Win Return (163 ROI%), 18 Place (25%), 26 Show (36%).

Saturday's big Aqueduct card features a quartet of Graded stakes, including the G2 Cigar Mile and the G3 Go For Wand going a flat mile.

We turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for some additional perspective and uncovered a very interesting approach. Angler tells us that the horse ranking first in the Last Turn Time handicapping factor has won 21% of the 8-furlong graded dirt stakes at Aqueduct.

While the Win % is a little lower than we typically promote, the $90.80 Win Return makes this Angle worth trying.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Last Turn Time slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angles – Jimmy Durante S. & Cecil B. Demille

Jimmy Durante S. & Cecil B. DeMille S. (G3)
8F on turf at Del Mar (November 30 & December 1)
Races Analyzed
: Last 68 turf stakes going one mile at Del Mar
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Trainer/Jockey Combo 2-Year Win %
Factor Stats: 69 contenders, 12 winners (17%), $1.00 Win Return (100% Win ROI), 24 place/show (34%) $24.10 Place Return, 31 Show (44%).

A pair of competitive juvenile turf stakes - Saturday's Jimmy Durante S. and Sunday's Cecil B. DeMille S. - are on tap for the final weekend of racing at Del Mar this year.

We queried the Betmix Angler handicapping database for clues to success in the turf stakes going a mile over the Del Mar lawn and found that Trainer/Jockey Combo 2-Year Win % has yielded a solid Win Return and an even better Place Return of $24.10.

The factor has pointed to 17% winners of this race type and 44% of the contenders have factored in the trifecta.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Trainer/Jockey Combo 2-Year Win % slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Chilukki S.

Chilukki S. at Churchill Downs
8F on Dirt (November 19)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 65 8-furlong dirt stakes at Churchill Downs
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Trainer/Jockey Win % Meet
Factor Stats: 45 contenders, 14 winners (31%, $104.64 Win Return, 216 ROI%), 17 Place (37%, $36.00 Place Return), 24 Show (53%, $23.78 Show Return)

A field of 8 distaffers are set to face the starter in the Grade 3 Chilukki Stakes at Churchill Downs, one of two graded stakes under the Twin Spires at Churchill Downs.

We scanned the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database and found a very intriguing Sharp Angle for this one. Angler reveals that the Trainer/Jockey Win % Meet handicapping factor has not only pointed to 31% winners of this race type but to some very juicy across the board returns.

The six winners, including 2015 Chilukki heroine Spelling Again ($8.60), have generated an exceptional $104.64 Win Return along with double-digit Place and Show returns.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Trainer/Jockey Win % Meet slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Kennedy Road S.

Autumn S. (G2) at Woodbine
6F on All Weather (November 16, 2023)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 48 Woodbine main track graded stakes at 6F
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. of Last 3 Late Pace
Factor Stats: 52 contenders, 15 winners (28%, $69 Win Return, 166 ROI%), 27 Place (51%, $29 Win Return), 34 Show (65%, $6.40 Show Return)

Saturday's G2 Kennedy Road S. at Woodbine has drawn a fascinating field of 6, headlined by the streaking local star Patched O'Houlihan and the invading former Breeders' Cup Champion Nobals.

We turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database, that holds data for the past 48, 6-furlong graded stakes on the Woodbine main track, for some insights.

Angler tells us that the Average of Last 3 Late Pace handicapping factor has pointed to 28% winners of this race type and that those winners have generated a very healthy $69 Win Return, not to mention positive Place and Show returns.

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Sharp Angle – Red Smith S.

Red Smith S. at Aqueduct
11F on Turf (November 9)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 35 graded turf stakes at Aqueduct, 11 furlongs or longer
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Jockey This Year
Factor Stats: 60 contenders, 12 winners (20%, $40.10 Win Return, 133 ROI%), 23 Place (38%, $2.60 Place Return), 29 Show (48%)

A field of 9 evenly matched male turf marathoners square off in the G2 Red Smith Stakes on Saturday at Aqueduct so we turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for clues to cashiing.

Angler tells us that the horse ranking first in the Trainer Current Year handicapping factor has won 20% of the graded turf marathons at Aqueduct over the past 12 years while generating positive Win and Place Returns.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Trainer Current Year slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Breeders’ Cup Classic

Breeders' Cup Classic at Del Mar
10F on Dirt (November 2)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 14 Grade 1 dirt stakes going 10 furlongs at Del Mar
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Avg. Best 2 of Last 3 Speed
Factor Stats: 18 contenders, 8 winners (44%, $43.00 Win Return, 219 ROI%), 9 Place (50%, 6.30 Place Return), 11 Show (61%, $1.50 Show Return)

The Breeders' Cup returns to Del Mar this weekend and will be anchored by an especially strong and compelling edition of the Classic.

The Betmix Angler online handicapping was built to help horseplayers with tough races like this one and once again it provides some important insights.

Eight of the past 14 winners of the 10-furlong Grade 1 dirt stakes at Del Mar have ranked first in the Average Best 2 of Last 3 Speed handicapping factor. These winners have also generated positive across the board returns, including $43.00 Win Return!

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Average Best 2 of Last 3 Speed slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
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Sharp Angle – Fayette S.

Fayette S. (G2) at Keeneland
9F on Dirt (October 26)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 45 graded 9-furlong dirt stakes at Keeneland
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Avg. Earnings Today's Distance
Factor Stats: 51 contenders, 16 winners (31%, $55.76 Win Return, 154 ROI%), 24 Place (47%, 3.26%), 27 Show (52%)

There is no shortage of graded stakes opportunities for older males this time of year but Saturday´s Fayette S. has drawn a very salty field of 10.

The Betmix online handicapping database helps cut through all of the noise and focus in on the top handicapping factors for each racetype. In this instance, Angler tells us that the Average Earnings Today's Distance handicapping factor has pointed to 31% winners who have generated a very nice $55.76 Win Return.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Average Earnings Today's Distance slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angles – Raven Run S. & Perryville S.

Raven Run S. (G2) & Perryville S. (G3)
7F on Dirt (October 19)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 33 Keeneland graded dirt stakes at 7F
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Jockey Current Meet
Factor Stats: 33 contenders, 7 winners (21%, $23.34 Win Bet Return, 135 ROI%), 13 Place (39%, $4.36 Place Bet Return, 14 Show (42%)

Keeneland fans and bettors will be treated to a pair of highly competitive 7-furlong Graded stakes for the sophomore set on Saturday, the G2 Raven Run S. for fillies and the G3 Perryville for colts & geldings.

We scanned the Betmix Angler online handicapping database looking for clues to handicapping success in these 7-furlong graded dirt stakes at Keeneland and found that Jockey Current Meet has productive & profitable.

Over 20% of the contenders carrying the meet's top rider have cashed while generating a $23.34 Win Return.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Jockey Current Meet slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
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