Richard W. Small S. at Laurel
9F on Dirt (November 26, 2022)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 50 9-furlong (non graded) dirt stakes at Laurel
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Avg. Earnings Today´s Track
Factor Stats: 53 contenders, 21 winners (39%, $16.30 Win Return, 115 ROI%), 28 Place (52%,) 34 Show (64%)

The Richard W. Small Stakes, the Saturday co-feature at Laurel, honors the late, great Midlantic trainer (Broad Brush, etc.) and has drawn a competitive field of older runners.

The Betmix Angler online handicapping database has all the data needed to look for successful handicapping factors for any racetypes. In this instance, Angler reveals that the Avg. Earnings Today´s Track factor has been very predictive in the 9-furlong non -graded stakes on the Laurel main track.

hard W. Small S. at Laurel
9F on Dirt (November 26, 2022)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 50 9-furlong (non graded) dirt stakes at Laurel
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Avg. Earnings Today´s Track
Factor Stats: 53 contenders, 21 winners (39%, $16.30 Win Return, 115 ROI%), 28 Place (52%,) 34 Show (64%)

The Richard W. Small Stakes, the Saturday co-feature at Laurel, honors the late, great Midlantic trainer (Broad Brush, etc.) and has drawn a competitive field of older runners.

The Betmix Angler online handicapping database has all the data needed to look for successful handicapping factors for any racetypes. In this instance, Angler reveals that the Avg. Earnings Today´s Track factor has been very predictive in the 9-furlong non -graded stakes on the Laurel main track.

A tick under 40% of the contenders have crossed the wire first while generating a $16.30 Win Return.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Earnings Today´ s Track slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
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Chilukki S. at Churchill Downs
8F on Dirt (November 19)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 32 8-furlong dirt stakes at Churchill Downs
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Trainer/Jockey Win % Meet
Factor Stats: 22 contenders, 5 winners (22%, $78.60 Win Return, 278 ROI%), 7 Place (31%, $27.80 Place Return), 9 Show (40%, $18.94 Show Return)

A field of 7 distaffers are set to face the starter in the Grade 2 Chilukki Stakes at Churchill Downs, the only Saturday graded stakes in North America.

We scanned the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database and found a very intriguing Sharp Angle for this one. Angler reveals that the Trainer/Jockey Win % Meet handicapping factor has not only pointed to 22% winners of this racetype but to some very juicy across the board returns.

The five winners, including 2015 Chilukki heroine Spelling Again ($8.60), have generated a whopping $78.60 Win Return along with double-digit Place and Show returns.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Trainer/Jockey Win % Meet slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
Click to subscribe to Betmix

Betmix Fusion - a quick and easy way to handicap!

• Real time Win %, ROI and Value stats for over 60 handicapping factors
• Quickly see which factors matter for the race you are betting and which factors are providing value
• Use all factors or create your own set of custom factors, ranks and levels
• Apply your saved factor settings with the click of a button
• Watch, wager and handicap all on one screen

BETMIX FUSION combines some of the best features of BirdDog, Angler and Toteboarding to give you a quick and accurate way to handicap races. We look into our Angler database and find a set of similar races (track, distance, surface, class, # of starters), and show you which factors and ranks within those factors have been the most predictive.

IS THE FAVORITE BEING OVER BET?

IS THERE ANY VALUE IN BETTING THIS LONGSHOT?

Answer those questions and see at a glance why you should bet on a particular horse and where you are getting the best value for your money.

You can watch, wager and handicap on the races all from one screen.

Sign up for a Free Fusion Tutorial on the Fusion handicapping screen.

Golden Nugget S. at Golden Gate
6F on All Weather (November 12)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 49 6-furlong main track at Golden Gate
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Avg. Last 3 Late Pace
Factor Stats: 54 contenders, 16 winners (29%, $120.40 Win Return, 211 ROI%), 29 Place (35%), 31 Show (57%)

A field of 7 juveniles are set to face the starter in the Golden Nugget Stakes, the Saturday feature at Golden Gate Fields

We scanned the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database and found a very intriguing Sharp Angle for this one. Angler reveals that the Avg. Last 3 Late Pace handicapping factor has not only pointed to 29% winners of this racetype but to an astounding $120 Win Return.

What's even more compelling is that it's not just one long shot winner that produced that juicy Win Return, but actually 5 double digit winners, including 3 that paid over $40!

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Last 3 Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
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Breeders´ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint (Nov. 4) & Breeders´ Cup Turf Sprint (Nov. 5) at Keeneland
5.5F on Turf
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 30 5.5-furlong graded turf stakes at Keeneland
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Avg. Speed Last 3
Factor Stats: 36 contenders, 10 winners (27%, $40.94 Win Return, 156 ROI%), 16 Place (44%, $12.22 Place Return), 22 Show (61%, $4.20 Show Return)

Here we go! The Breeders´ Cup returns to Keeneland this weekend with typically deep and compelling fields.

The two turf sprints are especially interesting for different reasons. Who will prove best in the overloaded Juvenile Turf Sprint on Friday? Who, if anyone, can beat defending champ Golden Pal in the Turf Sprint on Saturday?

The Betmix Angler online handicapping database is designed to parse the narratives with powerful data and Angler reveals that the Avg. Speed Last 3 handicapping factor has been lucrative in the 5.5-furlong graded stakes on the Keeneland lawn.

Just over 27% of the contenders have crossed the wire first, while generating a healthy $40.94 Win Return

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Speed Last 3 slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
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Bryan Station S at Keeneland
8F on Turf (October 29)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 46 8-furlong graded turf stakes at Keeneland
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Avg. Earnings Today´ s Track
Factor Stats: 51 contenders, 15 winners (29%, $24.60 Win Return, 124 ROI%), 20 Place (39%), 23 Show (45%)

An overflow field of sophomore turfers is entered for Saturday´ s G2 Bryan Station Stakes at Keeneland, one of two graded stakes on the card.

The Betmix Angler online handicapping database is designed to help with difficult handicapping puzzles like this one and Angler reveals that the Avg. Earnings Today´ s Track handicaping factor has been lucrative in the 8 furlong graded stakes on the Keeneland lawn.

Nearly one third of the contenders have crossed the wire first, while generating a healthy $24.60 Win Return

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Earnings Today´ s Track slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
Click to subscribe to Betmix

Maryland Million Classic at Laurel
9F on Dirt (October 22)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 49 9-furlong (non graded) dirt stakes at Laurel
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Avg. Earnings Today´ s Track
Factor Stats: 52 contenders, 421winners (40%, $18.30 Win Return, 117 ROI%), 28 Place (53%,) 34 Show (65%)

Saturday is Maryland Million Day at Laurel with 10 Stakes races for Maryland-bred runners. Per usual these races have drawn deep and competitive fields, including a full field for the Classic going 9 furlongs on the dirt.

The Betmix Angler online handicapping database has all the data needed to look for successful handicapping factors for any racetypes. In this instance, Angler reveals that the Avg. Earnings Today´ s Track factor has been very predictive in the 9 furlong non graded stakes on the Laurel main track.

A tick over 40% of the contenders have crossed the wire first while generating a $18.30 Win Return.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Earnings Today´ s Track slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
Click to subscribe to Betmix

October 17, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk/www.horseplayernow.com
Originally published on www.xpressbet.com

Welcome to a continuing handicapping series for our Monday blog space, “Monday Myths.” Each week I’ll use the power of the Betmix database to take common handicapping assumptions and either support or dispel them with data. Betmix data powers the 1/ST BET app and its features like Angler and Birddog give data-minded horseplayers a treasure trove of information in which to query your own curiosities.

Assumption:

Trainer Todd Pletcher is poised for a massive Breeders’ Cup success story.

Background:

The Pletcher runners have been on a major tear in October, winning 5 Grade 1 races between Keeneland and the Belmont-at-Aqueduct meeting. But does that success stretch throughout his barn, look any different than normal for this time of year, and foretell any Breeders’ Cup might?

Data Points:

I fired up the Betmix database to look at Pletcher’s October stats each of the past 10 years and cumulatively, tracking win percentage and $1 ROI. It gave us a sample size of more than 850 starters that included 16 Grade 1 wins in that month over the decade.

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2022 26% $1.52 TBD
2021 15% $0.41 BC
2020 24% $0.87
2019 16% $0.52 BC
2018 22% $0.79 BC
2017 21% $0.70
2016 24% $0.97
2015 19% $0.82 BC (2)
2014 24% $0.77
2013 18% $0.66

Overall 21% $0.80

Bottom line:

Pletcher’s 5 Grade 1 wins in October 2022 matches up strongly against his 11 in the prior 9 years of Octobers – with essentially the same national stakes schedule annually. His 26% win rate so far in October rates No. 1 in the decade for this month, while the $1.52 ROI is leaps and bounds higher than previous October performances. But notice Pletcher’s 3 previous best Octobers – 2020, 2016 and 2014 – did not result in a Breeders’ Cup win. His best BC the past decade in 2015 (at Keeneland nonetheless) came after a 19% month of October that ranked fourth-worst of the decade. Is Pletcher hotter than usual coming into the Cup? Absolutely, say the numbers. But does that mean he’ll light it up at the Breeders’ Cup? Albeit a small sample size, history says nothing is promised.

Additional details:

You can go into Betmix and run your own queries for a deeper dive into this theory and any that you can create. For instance, do the same exercise for other trainers with contenders for this year’s Cup.

Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup at Keeneland
8.5F on Turf (October 15)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 11 9-furlong turf stakes at Keeneland
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Last Late Pace
Factor Stats: 12 contenders, 4 winners (33%, $148.20 Win Return, 717 ROI%), 6 Place/Show (50%, $49 Place Return), $17.10 Show Return

The Queen Elizabeth Challenge Cup goes as the lone Grade 1 in North America this weekend.

The Betmix Angler online handicapping database has all the data needed to look for successful handicapping factors for any racetypes. In this instance, Angler reveals that the Last Late Pace factor has been very lucrative in the 9 furlong turf stakes on the Keeneland lawn.

One third of the contenders have crossed the wire first, including 74-1 Ever Dangerous (2020 Bryan Station S.) and a trio of recent QE II heroines.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Last Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
Click to subscribe to Betmix

October 10, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk/www.horseplayernow.com
Originally published on www.xpressbet.com

Welcome to a continuing handicapping series for our Monday blog space, “Monday Myths.” Each week I’ll use the power of the Betmix database to take common handicapping assumptions and either support or dispel them with data. Betmix data powers the 1/ST BET app and its features like Angler and Birddog give data-minded horseplayers a treasure trove of information in which to query your own curiosities.

Assumption:

Horses are requiring more time between starts to be successful in the Breeders’ Cup.

Background:

With the major Breeders’ Cup preps In the rear-view mirror, just what exactly is the optimum time between starts? And does one size fit all?

Data Points:

I fired up the Betmix database to look at all Breeders’ Cup winners’ days between starts for all 14 divisions over the past 5 years, trying to keep the comparable as modern as possible to fit the current training style. I looked at the high, low and average days for each division.

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Juvenile Turf Sprint (contested only 4 years)
> High: 90 | Low: 26 | Average: 57

Juvenile Turf
> High: 43 | Low: 20 | Average: 33

Juvenile Fillies Turf
> High: 47 | Low: 23 | Average: 35

Juvenile
> High: 35 | Low: 28 | Average: 33

Juvenile Fillies
> High: 33 | Low: 26 | Average: 29

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Filly and Mare Sprint
> High: 64 | Low: 14 | Average: 36

Turf Sprint
> High: 147 | Low: 28 | Average: 78

Dirt Mile
> High: 70 | Low: 21 | Average: 41

Filly and Mare Turf
> High: 84 | Low: 28 | Average: 51

Sprint
> High: 70 | Low: 28 | Average: 38

Mile
> High: 55 | Low: 27 | Average: 39

Distaff
> High: 86 | Low: 27 | Average: 58

Turf
> High: 84 | Low: 27 | Average: 50

Classic
> High: 63 | Low: 35 | Average: 41

Bottom line:

The average layoff for all Breeders’ Cup winners the past 5 years has been 45 days, a number that would have seemed impossible in past decades when major preps were 21-28 days from the target at most. The Juvenile Fillies is the only division where it has held close to past norms at 29 days between starts. The Turf Sprint races on each day are most friendly to longer layoffs.

Additional details:

You can go into Betmix and run your own queries for a deeper dive into this theory and any that you can create. For instance, check out top-3 finishers in each race for exotics help.