Next up in our Track of the Week series is Finger Lakes Racing & Gaming, located in Canandaigua, New York. The track hosts it's biggest day of the year on Saturday, July 22 when the New York Derby and New York Oaks are on the card. We'll be highlighting some Angles that have been working well over the past month or so. These angles can be tried in that day's Free Race of the Day.

Saturday, July 22
New York Oaks & New York Derby
8.5F on dirt
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 8 stakes for three-year-olds at 8.5F on dirt
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Last Late Pace
Factor Stats: 9 contenders, 5 winners (55%, $3.30 flat win bet profit, 118 ROI%), 89% in-the-money ($9.20 flat show profit, 151 ROI%)

We get a little more specific for the Saturday co-features at Finger Lakes by looking at data for just three-year-old stakes at 8.5 furlongs. It's a much smaller sample but the results have been compelling with nearly 90% of the qualifiers hitting the board.

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Wednesday, July 19 & Thursday July 20
7th Race at Finger Lakes & 8th Race
Allowances
6 furlongs on Dirt & 5 furlongs on dirt

Since June 1, for non-maiden Dirt Sprint Races at Finger Lakes:

Single Factor Angle: Horses ranked 1^st in Best Speed Last 3 speed have won 53 of 153 races (34.6%)

7/19 Race of the Day results: Perfect Disco won paying $4.00; co-qualifier Steve's Image finished 7th
7/20 Race of the Day results: Lady's First finished 3rd

Tuesday, July 18
7th Race at Finger Lakes
Allowance
8.5 furlongs on Dirt

Since June 1, for non-maiden Dirt Route Races at Finger Lakes:

Single Factor Angle: Horses ranked 1^st in Best Speed Last 3 speed have won 34 of 73 races (43%)

Race of the Day results: Four Directions won paying $4.80

We continue our Track of the Week series at Delaware Park, home of Saturday's historic Delaware Handicap (G1). We'll be highlighting some Angles that have been working well over the past month or so. These angles can be tried in that day's Free Race of the Day.

Wednesday, July 12
8th Race at Delaware Park
Allowance/Optional Claiming
6-furlongs on Dirt

Since June 1, for non-maiden Dirt Sprints at Delaware Park.

Single Factor Angle: Horses ranked 1^st in Trainer Current Meet have won 16 of 59 races (27%)
Multiple Factor Angle: Horses ranked 1^st in Trainer Current Meet and Top 4 in Avg Earnings Today’s Track are 16 for 43 (37.2%)

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Monday, July 10
8th Race at Delaware Park
Starter Allowance
8.32-furlongs on Dirt

Since June 1, for non-maiden Dirt Route races at Delaware Park:

Single Factor Angle: Horses ranked 1^st in Avg. Best 2 of Last 3 Speed have won 16 of 36 races (44%)
Multiple Factor Angle: Horses ranked 1^st in Avg. Best 2 of Last 3 Speed AND Top 4 in Dirt Pedigree are 16 for 32 (50%)

Queen’s Plate
10F on Tapeta at Woodbine (July 2)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 12 stakes at 10 furlongs on all weather
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. of Last 3 E1 Pace
Factor Stats: 15 contenders, 4 winners (27%, $41.30 flat win bet profit, 237 ROI%), 67% in-the-money ($2.00 flat show profit, 106 ROI%)

Canada’s Derby Day is Sunday, July 2 when the Queen’s Plate is run for 158th time. The perception in ten furlong Classics like this is that off-the-pace & stamina types fare best. This is especially true in contests over all-weather surfaces, which often play like turf races. However, a Betmix Angler analysis of 10-furlong stakes over the Woodbine main course shows that early speed is the place to start when handicapping these race types.

Ten of the last 15 contenders (67%) who ranked first in Average of Last 3 E1 Pace have hit the board 10-furlong stakes over Woodbine’s Polytrack/Tapeta surfaces. Four of them have found the winner’s circle, including Midnight Aria, the $35.20 hero of the 2013 Queen’s Plate.

How to apply this Sharp Angle:
Under Factor Ranking in the Betmix Birddog handicapping software, use the Avg. of Last 3 E1 Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Last Sharp Angles result - Courtly Manner 7th at $9.30-1 in Bold Ruckus S.

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Bold Ruckus S.
6F on the turf at Woodbine (June 25)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 17 stakes at 6 furlongs on turf
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. of Last 3 Late Pace
Factor Stats: 18 contenders, 5 winners (28%, $21.60 flat win bet profit, 159 ROI%), 56% in-the-money ($6.60 flat show profit, 118 ROI%)

Woodbine quietly cards some of the more competitive stakes races in North America each weekend and Sunday’s 11-horse Bold Ruckus Stakes is a good example. Betmix Angler found a solid sample of 17 6-furlong turf stakes at the Toronto area track and the data shows that over one quarter of these contests are won by the horse with the best Average Late Pace in their last three races.

This angle is also trending in the right direction. Two of the 2016 Woodbine 6-furlong turf stakes produced double-digit winners using this approach, including last year’s Bold Ruckus hero Songs and Laughter ($11.40).

How to apply this Sharp Angle:

Under Factor Ranking in the Betmix Birddog handicapping software, use the Avg. of Last 3 Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Last Sharp Angles result - Clara’s Gone West 7th at $2.30-1 in Niagara S.

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Niagara S.
6F on the dirt at Finger Lakes (June 19)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 41 stakes at 6 furlongs on dirt
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Last 3 E2 Pace + top 2 ranking in Best Speed Last 3
Factor Stats: 32 contenders, 17 winners (53.1%, $10.40 flat win bet profit, 116 ROI%) & 78% 1st or 2nd (16.60 flat place bet profit, 126 ROI%)

Sometimes the best place to look for reliable payouts are the smaller tracks. That may be the case on Monday at Finger Lakes where the feature is the 6-furlong Niagara Stakes that drew a field of nine.

Using Betmix Angler to analyze horse racing data from Finger Lakes we found a two-factor approach seems to work best. Combining a top ranking in Avg. Last 3 E2 Pace with a top two rank in Best Speed Last 3 has consistently yielded winners in sprint stakes at Finger Lakes. They've hit at at 53% clip and have been part of the exacta nearly 80% of the time!

With two-thirds of the remaining stakes at Canandaigua, NY track run at the 6-furlong distance this is also a good Angle to file away for the future.

How to apply this Sharp Angle: Under Factor Ranking in the Betmix Birddog handicapping software, use the Avg. Last 3 E2 Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. Then see if that horse also ranks 1st or 2nd in Best Speed Last 3. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Last Sharp Angles results - Big World 4th at $3.70 in Fleur de Lis H.

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Fleur de Lis H. (G2)
9F on the dirt at Churchill Downs (June 17)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 15 stakes at 8.5 & 9 furlongs on dirt
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Trainer Current Meet
Factor Stats: 15 contenders, 5 winners (33%, $22 flat win bet profit, 173 ROI%)

Horse racing fans will thrill to runners like Gun Runner (Stephen Foster H.) and McCraken (Matt Winn S.) on Saturday night at Churchill Downs. Meanwhile handicappers will likely be more thrilled with the betting opportunities presented by the nine fillies in the Fleur de Lis H.

Using the Betmix Angler handicapping software we found that the trophy often goes to the hottest trainer in these distaff middle distance graded races at Churchil. The runner ranking first in Trainer Current Meet has won one third of the past 15 such events, including last year’s Fleur de Lis heroine Paid Up Subscriber ($14.60). Funny Proposition, the $13.40 winner of the 2013 edition of this race is also among the winners.

How to apply this Sharp Angle:
Under Factor Ranking in the Betmix BirdDog horse racing software, use the Trainer Current Meet slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Last week’s results - Celestine 5th at $3.40-1 in Just A Game S.

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Just a Game S. (G1)
8F on the turf at Belmont Park (June 10)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 13 stakes at 8 furlongs on turf
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Earnings this Distance
Factor Stats: 13 contenders, 5 winners (38%, $26.20 flat win bet profit, 200 ROI%) & flat place bet profit

Even with no Triple Crown on the line, the Belmont Stakes Racing Festival has quickly emerged into one of the most compelling racing weekends in North America. Among the 18 stakes spread across three days is the $700,000 Just a Game S. (G1) that’s drawn an evenly-matched field of seven this year.

Using the Betmix Angler handicapping software, we found that five of the past 13 one-mile graded turf stakes at Belmont have been captured by the horse ranking first Average Earnings this Distance. More importantly, this sample shows three of the past four Just a Game winners, including the two most recent heroines - Celestine ($17.00) last year and the great Tepin, who paid a very generous $11.20 in 2015.

How to apply this Sharp Angle:
Under Factor Ranking in the Betmix Birddog handicapping software, use the Avg. Turf Earnings slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Last week’s results - Oscar Performance ($9.80), 1st in Pennine Ridge S.

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Pennine Ridge S. (G3)
9F on the turf at Belmont Park (June 3)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 15 stakes for three-year-olds at 9 furlongs on turf
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Turf Earnings
Factor Stats: 15 contenders, 8 winners (53%, $20.20 flat win bet profit, 167 ROI%); flat show & place bet profits

We still have to wait another week for the dirt three-year-olds to wrap up the 2017 Triple Crown season in the Belmont Stakes. Meanwhile the sophomore grass runners take center stage in the $500,000 Penn Mile (G2) and the $200,000 Pennine Ridge S. (G3) on Saturday.

We’ve uncovered a strong angle for the Pennine Ridge by looking at the past 15 grass stakes for three-year-olds going 9-furlongs at Belmont. The horse ranking first in Average Turf Earnings has won eight of these contests (53%) and the 15 qualifiers have finished an averaged an in-the-money finish (2.47). Accordingly, this Sharp Angle shows flat win ($20.20), place ($1.20) and show (6.50) bet profits.

This sample has also includes the past three Pennine Ridge S. winners - Camelot Kitten ($5.80), Divisidero ($6.30) and Gala Award ($7.40).

How to apply this Sharp Angle:
Under Factor Ranking in the Betmix Birddog handicapping software, use the Avg. Turf Earnings slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Last week’s results - Enola Gray, 5th at $1.2-1 in Monrovia S.

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Monrovia S. (G2)
6.5F on the turf at Santa Anita (May 27)
Races Analyzed: 29 graded stakes at 6.5 furlongs on turf
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Earnings This Track + 1st or 2nd in Last Turn Time
Factor Stats: 13 contenders, 8 winners (61%, $24.60 flat win bet profit, 194 ROI%), 12 of 13 (92.3%) in the money

The 6.5-furlong sprints on the downhill hill turf course at Santa Anita are the most unique races in North America and they present the most unique handicapping challenge as well. With several years of horse racing data from the gorgeous Arcadia, California course, Betmix users are also in a unique position to parse through to what’s important in isolating contenders in these races.

Using Betmix Angler we found that familiarity and a turn of foot breed success. A total of 13 runners in the past 29 graded stakes ‘down the hill’ have ranked 1st in Average Earnings This Track AND 1st or 2nd in Last Turn Time. Eight (61%) have found the winner's circle. Incredibly, only one of the 13 has failed to hit the board.

How to apply this Sharp Angle:
Under Factor Ranking in the Betmix Birddog handicapping software, look for horse rankings Average Earnings This Track & Last Turn Time. There is one Sharp Angles play in this race.

Last week’s results - Ben’s Cat, 8th at 8.5-1 in Jim McKay Turf Sprint & Animal Appeal, 9th at 6.60-1 in The Very One S.

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