It's hard to believe that it's been 35 years since John Henry nosed out The Bart in the inaugural Arlington Million at our Track of the Week, Arlington Park. While the suburban Chicago track faces more challenges today than it did three decades ago, Million Day remains a major event on the Chicago sports calendar. This week we'll parse some data and highlight some Angles to help formulate plays for the four Million weekend cards.
Sharp Angle - Saturday, August 12
Beverly D. Stakes (G1).
9.5 furlongs on turf
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 14 Stakes at 9.5 furlongs on turf at Arlington
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Average Last 3 Late Pace
Factor Stats: 15 contenders, 5 winners (33%, $26.60 flat win bet profit, 188 ROI%), 11 in the money (73%, $10.00 flat place bet profit & $10.10 flat show bet profit)
The Beverly D. Stakes has drawn a Breeders' Cup-worthy field this year and it's just as competitive at the windows. With a 73% in-the-money rate and two of the past three Beverly D. heroines represented (including $19.80 winner Watsdachances) this Sharp Angle is an ideal starting point in handicapping the race.
Results: 1st Dacita paying $15.80
This week's other Angles:
Since Aug 1, 2016, for 1-Mile Turf Claiming races at Arlington Park:
Single Factor Angle: Horses 1st in Average Speed last 3 have won 19 of 49 races (38.7%)
Since June 1, for Turf Sprints at Arlington Park:
Single Factor Angle: Horses ranked 1st in Best Speed Last 3 have won 8 of 25 races (32%)
Multiple Factor Angle: Horses ranked 1st in Best Speed Last 3 & Top 4 in Turf Pedigree Rating have won 8 of 20 races (40%)