Woodbine Mile (G1) at Woodbine
8F on Turf (September 15)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 17 Woodbine turf stakes (3yo and up) at one mile
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked Horses Beaten %
Factor Stats: 17 contenders, 7 winners (41%, $71.10 flat win bet profit, 309 ROI%), 11 win/place/show (64%, $27.20 flat place bet return, $5.50 flat show place return)
Woodbine takes center stage this weekend with several Grade 1's that help shape the fields for the grassy Breeders' Cup events in seven weeks. Four of the past six winners of the Breeders' Cup Mile have emerged from the Woodbine Mile, the focus of this week's Sharp Angles analysis.
Horse Beaten % is a lesser known handicapping factor has been highly predictive in the 8 furlong grass stakes at Woodbine in recent years. In fact, 7 of the past 17 winners (41%) of this race type have ranked first in this category, including three winners that paid over $20 to win ($71.10 flat win bet profit). Four others hit the board bringing the total in-the-money percentage to nearly 65%.