Alabama S. (G1)
10F on Dirt (August 15)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 15 Saratoga Grade 1 dirt stakes at 10F
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Last Late Pace
Factor Stats: 16 contenders, 5 winners (31%, $33.90 Win Bet Return, 205 ROI%), 8 place/show (50%, 720 Place Bet Return)
The 10-furlong Alabama Stakes is the only chance for top class sophomore fillies to show their talents at the classic 10-furlong distance. This year's race has drawn a strong favorite in multiple graded stakes winners Swiss Skydiver, a valiant 2nd last out against males in the Blue Grass Stakes.
But is she vulnerable? A scan of the Betmix Angle online handicapping database reveals that she might be.
Last Late Pace has pointed to 31% winners in the recent 10-furlong dirt Grade 1's at The Spa and it's one of her talented competitors that ranks first in this handicapping factor.
The overall Win Return for Last Late Pace is a healthy $33.90 and among the five winners are Alabama heroines Princess of Sylmar ($3.00) and last year's winner Dunbar Road ($5.50).
Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Last Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.