Classic - 10 furlongs on the dirt
Races Analyzed: 9 Graded 1 races at 10 furlongs on (including 2013 & 2014 Breeders’ Cup Classics)
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Best Last Speed
Factor Stats: Has won 4 of the 9 races (44%) for $24.40 Win ROI
The last two Santa Anita BC Classic heroes are in this sample - Mucho Macho Man (pictured, $10), the narrow winner in 2013 and Bayern ($14.20) the controversial winner in 2014.
Last Late Pace is another way to look at the Classic. It too has hit at 44% and actually has a higher Win ROI ($57). Bayern falls out with this approach but Mucho Macho Man remains. The real profitability comes courtesy of the double digit winners Melatonin ($34.60 in this year’s Santa Anita Handicap) and Hard Aces ($17.80 in the 2015 Gold Cup at Santa Anita)
Distaff - 9 furlongs on the dirt
Races Analyzed: 16 Grade1 races at 9 furlongs on dirt (including 2013 & 2014 Breeders’ Cup Distaffs)
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Speed Last 3
Factor Stats: Has won 8 of the 16 races (50%) for $24.60 Win ROI
A good win percentage but a thin ROI overall. The does include sample include Untapable ($5.20) who won the BC Distaff at Santa Anita as three-year-old in 2014.
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