Cigar Mile at Aqueduct
8F on Dirt (December 4)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 35 8-furlong graded dirt stakes at Aqueduct
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Jockey 2-Year Win % This Race Type
Factor Stats: 38 contenders, 8 winners (21%) $83.40 Win Return, (209 ROI%), 10 Place (26%), 16 Show (42%) Show Return.
Saturday´ s Cigar Mile marks the last Grade 1 event on the 2021 NYRA calendar and handicappers are faced with a stern challenge.
We turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for some additional perspective and uncovered a very interesting approach. Angler tells us that the horse ranking first in the Jockey 2-Year Win % This Race Type handicapping factor has won 21% of the 8-furlong graded dirt stakes at Aqueduct.
While the Win % is a little lower than we typically promote, the $83.40 Win Return makes this Angle worth trying. This factor has also pointed to a pair of recent Cigar Mile champs - Connect ($5.00) and Tonalist ($6.40).
Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Jockey 2-Year Win % This Race Type slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.