Del Mar Oaks (G1)
9F on turf at Del Mar (August 17)
Races Analyzed: Last 32 Del Mar 9F turf graded stakes
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Speed Last Race
Factor Stats: 39 contenders, 10 winners (25%), $17.20 win bet return, 122 ROI%, & 20 place/show (51%).
A full field of 14 sophomore fillies will fill the starting gate for Saturday's Del Mar Oaks, the 'other' Grade 1 on a fantastic Pacific Classic day card. An ultra competitive contest like this one begged Betmix BirdDog analysis.
The Angler handicapping database shows that runners ranked first in Speed Last Race have won the 9-furlong graded turf stakes at the seaside oval a quarter of the time.
The sample includes last year's Oaks heroine Fatale Bere, who scored at nearly 7-1. Her victory helped up the Win Return figure for this factor to $17.20. Since that win, 3 of 4 subsequent contenders ranked first in this factor have hit the board, including last month's Eddie Read S. winner Bowies Hero ($8.80). So the arrow is pointing decidedly up on this Angle.
Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Speed Last Race slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.