Dowager S. (G3)
12F on turf at Keeneland (October 20)
Races Analyzed: Last 26 runnings of 12 furlong turf graded stakes at Keeneland
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Trainer Jockey ROI Meet
Factor Stats: 52 contenders, 8 winners (15.38%) $37.20 Win Return, 20 place/show (38%) $19.20 place return & 11.40 show return.
The starting gate will be bursting for the 12-furlong Dowager Stakes, the Sunday feature at Keeneland. A turf marathon with a full field of quality fillies and mares begged analysis from the Betmix Angler handicapping database. And, sure enough, we found a factor that points to a longshot in a very competitive field.
We discovered that the human connections have tended to point to profits in this race type a the famed Lexington course. Horses ranked first in Trainer Jockey Return on Investment (ROI) Meet have produced a healthy win return of $37.20. Over a third of the contenders figuring in the tri, while also generating double digit place and show returns. This group includes Nakamura, the 6-1 runner-up in Thursday's Sycamore Stakes.
Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Trainer Jockey ROI Meet slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.