Mint Juelp S. (G3)
8.5F on Turf (May 30)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 37 Churchill Downs graded turf stakes at 8.5F
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Last Late Pace
Factor Stats: 42 contenders, 7 winners (16%, $37.20 flat win bet return, 144 ROI%), 23 place/show (54%, $71.20 flat Place Return, $26..40 Show Return)
The grassy Mint Julep at 8.5 furlongs is one of two stakes on Saturday's Churchill Downs card. It drew a large and diverse field that should have horseplayers salivating.
The Betmix Angler online handicapping database tells us that 16% of horses ranking first in Last Late Pace have triumphed in this racetype (8.5F turf graded stakes at Churchill).
We typically shoot for a higher Win % when promoting a handicapping factor but there are some other reasons for optimism.
Three of the seven winners have paid double-digits, including $60 winner Hay Dakota, producing a very nice Win Return of $37.20. The Place Return borders on outlandish at $71.20. Furthermore, On Strike Mom, the $7 winner of last year's Mint Julep is among the seven to find the winner's circle.
Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Last Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.