Regret S. (G3)
9F on Turf (June 27)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 28 Churchill Downs graded turf stakes at 9F
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Win %
Factor Stats: 34 contenders, 10 winners (29%, $25.80 Win Bet Return, 137 ROI%), 19 place/show (55%, 20.00 Place Bet Return, 1.60 Show Bet Return)
A few days after Churchill Downs announced that fans are expected (fingers crossed) under the Twins Spires for its two biggest days of the year, the storied track hosts what is normally its third biggest card - Stephen Foster Day.
Among the four stakes on the reconfigured Foster agenda is the Regret Stakes for sophomore fillies going 9 furlongs on the grass. This racetype is typically very difficult to decipher so we turned to the Betmix online handicapping database for direction.
Angler tells us that Win % has pointed to nearly 30% winners in the 9 furlong graded turf stakes at Churchill, while generating a very solid $25.80 Win Return. Among the winners is last year's Regret heroine, Hard Legacy who returned $13.80 to her backers.
Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Win % slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.