La Prevoyante H. (G3) & W. L. McKnight H. (G3)
12F on the turf at Gulfstream Park (January 28)
Races Analyzed: 11 graded stakes at 12 furlongs on turf
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Last Turn Time
Factor Stats: 12 qualifying horses, 6 in the money (50%), $25.20 flat bet place profit (205 ROI%), $7.80 flat bet show profit (132 ROI%).
The new $12 million Pegasus World Cup may be the most compelling thoroughbred horse race on the planet on Saturday. But Gulfstream Park has put together a sensational stakes-pack undercard that includes a pair of marathon graded stakes on the turf. Betmix Angler shows Last Turn Time has been effective in isolating long shot plays for this race type.
Two of the last 12 horses ranking first in Last Turn Time have won recent 12 furlong graded races on the Gulfstream lawn - Imaging, the $7.40 winner of the 2015 Pan American S. (G3) and Divine Oath, who took the 2014 McKnight H. at a 10.80 mutuel. However, this factor has pointed to some juicer payoffs in the place & show spots and underneath in the exactas & tris. In the 2015 La Prevoyante, for example, Maximova was the 35-1 runner up to even money Goldy Espony. The exacta paid $98 exacta and the trifecta cashed for over $700 with third choice Rosalind in the show spot. Overall, these runners have gone off at an average odds of 17-1 and the sample includes another double-digit runner up in Angegree, second at 12-1 in the 2013 Orchid Handicap.
Last Sharp Angles results: Clearly Now 4th in the Duncan Kenner Stakes at 2.90-1
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