Jersey Derby at Monmouth Park
8F on Turf (June 1, 2024)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 32 ungraded turf Stakes at Monmouth
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Best Speed Last 3
Factor Stats: 34 contenders, 12 winners (35%, $19.60 Win Return, 128 ROI%), 23 Place (67%, $28.20 Place Return), 25 Show (73%, $3.10 Show Return)

Saturday's Jersey Derby at Monmouth Park has drawn a competitive field of 9 sophomore turfers, 8 of whom are looking for their first Stakes victory.

We turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database, that holds data for the past 32 ungraded 8F turf stakes at the Jersey Shore oval for clues to help solve this handicapping puzzle.

Angler tells us that the Best Speed Last 3 handicapping factor has pointed to 35% winners of this race type and that those winners have generated a nice $19.60 Win Return. It's also pointed to some long shots as evidenced by the $28.20 Place Return and has a remarkably consisent identifier of live contenders as shown by the 73% in the money percentage.

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Big Drama S. at Gulfstream Park
7F on Dirt (May 25)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 140 7-furlong non-graded dirt stakes at Gulfstream Park
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. of Last 3 Late Pace
Factor Stats: 150 contenders, 35 winners (35%, $20.80 Win Return, 106 ROI%), 67 place (44%, $6.80 Place Return), 91 Show (60%, $32.80)

Saturday's $100,000 Big Drama Stakes has drawn a field of salty older middle distance runners for th 7-furling dirt challenged over the Gulfstream Park main oval.

We took the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for a spin for some insights into this race type & trends and found that the Avg. of Last 3 Late Pace handicapping factor has pointed to 23% winners and 60% on the board finishes, all while generating plus Win, Place and Show returns

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. of Last 3 Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Preakness S. (G1) at Pimlico
9.5F on Dirt (May 20, 2023)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 11 Preakness Stakes
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Last Late Pace
Factor Stats: 15 contenders, 3 winners (20%, $34.40 Win Return, 214 ROI%), 4 Place (26%, $12.00 Place Return), 6 Show (40%, $3.00 Place Return)

As usual, the Preakness Stakes offers high intrigue in 2024. Will Mystik Dan become the first Derby winner to capture the Preakness since 2018 or will one of the seven new shooters wear the Black-Eyed Susans?

We turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for insight and found that the Last Late Pace handicapping factor has been productive in the Preakness in recent years.

In fact, the past three Preakness winners have ranked first in this factor and all of them paid double digits - Early Voting ($13.40), Rombauer ($25.60) and Swiss Skydiver ($25.40)!

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Man o' War S. (G2) at Belmont at The Big A
11F on Turf (May 11, 2024)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 21 Graded turf stakes, 11 furlongs at Aqueduct
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Last 3 E1 Pace
Factor Stats: 22 contenders, 5 winners (22%, $14.00 Win Return, 133 ROI%), 7 Place (31%, 1.70 Place Return), 9 Show (40%)

The prestigious Man o'War Stakes is one of 4 graded events on the Saturday Belmont at The Big A card in New York and it's drawn a competitive field of salty older grass marathoners.

We turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for some insights into this race type and Angler revealed that the Avg. Last 3 E1 Pace handicapping factor has been profitable. It's pointed to 22% while generating plus Win ($14.90) and Place ($1.70) Returns.

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Kentucky Derby (G1) at Churchill Downs
10F on Dirt (May 4, 2024)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 12 runnings of the Kentucky Derby
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. of Last 3 E2 Pace
Factor Stats: 13 contenders, 3 winners (23%, $26.80 Win Return, 203 ROI%), 4 Place (30%, $8.44 Place Return), 4 Show (30%)

Here we go! The 150th running of the Kentucky Derby is finally here!

The Betmix Angler online handicapping database now has data for the past 12 runnings of the Run For the Roses so, for the first time, we've decided to dive in for a Sharp Angle.

Angler revealed that the Avg. of Last E2 Pace handicapping factor has pointed to a trio of recent Derby champions - Justify ($7.80), Authentic ($18.80) and Medina Spirit, who still rewarded his parimutuel backers with a $26.20 windfall. This factor also pointed to last year's brave Two Phil's who filled out the exacta at nearly 10-1.

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San Francisco Mile S. (G3) at Golden Gate
8F on Turf (April 26, 2024)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 47 8F turf stakes at Golden Gate
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Best Lifetime Speed
Factor Stats: 56 contenders, 20 winners (35%, $15.20 flat win bet return, 113 ROI%), 27 Place (48%), 37 Show (66%)

While the racing world awaits next weekend's Kentucky Derby, Golden Gate Fields will offer perhaps the most compelling Stakes challenge for handicappers this weekend.

An overflow field of 12 salty grass runners will line up for the Mile so we turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database. Angler revealed that the Best Lifetime Speed handicapping factor is very interesting. It's pointed to 35% winners, with a $15.20 Win Return, along with a 66% in the money strike rate.

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Elkhorn S. (G2)
12F on the turf at Keeneland (April 22)
Races Analyzed: Last 44 Keeneland graded stakes at 12 furlongs on turf
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Jockey Current Meet
Factor Stats: 55 contenders, 8 winners (14%, $26.20 Win Return, 1323 ROI%), 19 Place (34%, $10.60 Place Return), 26 Show 47%, $2.86 Show Return)

Sometimes finding a winner is as easy as hopping aboard with the hottest jockey. That appears to be the way to go in the marathon turf stakes at Keeneland. The past 44 12-furlong stakes at the Lexington oval have yielded a total of 55 contenders ranked first in Jockey Current Meet. Eight (14%) have won, half of them at double-digit odds. The flat win bet profit on those contenders is a juicy $26.20.

Nearly half of the contenders have hit the board so this factor is very good place to start when putting together an exotics ticket.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Jockey Current Meet slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Last week’s results:

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Lexington S. (G3) at 8.5F on Dirt (April 13)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 25 8.5F Graded dirt Stakes for 3YOs at Keeneland
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Last 3 Purse
Factor Stats: 30 contenders, 5 winners (16%, $20.60 Win Return, 134 ROI%), 11 Place (36%, $5.20 Place Return), 15 Show (50%)

Last call for Kentucky Derby points! That will be the underlying theme when the bugler beckons 10 sophomore colts postward for the Lexington Stakes on Saturday afternoon at Keeneland.

It's been an exceptionally competitive Derby prep season, as evidenced by the fact that 45 qualifying points doesn't guarantee a spot in the 2024 Run for the Roses. Horseplayers face yet another handicapping challenge with this Lexington field so we turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for insights.

Angler shows us that the Avg. Last 3 Purse handicapping factor has produced good results in the 8.5 furlong graded dirt stakes at Keeneland, pointing to 16% winners who have produced a $20.60 Win Return. The sample includes 3 of the past 6 Lexington winners - Senior Investment (the $24.20 winner in 2017), My Boy Jack ($5/2018) and King Fury ($38.40/2021).

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Last 3 Purse slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Santa Anita Derby (G1) at Santa Anita
9F on Dirt (April 8)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 62 9-furlong graded dirt stakes at Santa Anita
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Last 3 Late Pace
Factor Stats: 61 contenders, 2 winners (32%, $14.70 Win Return, 111 ROI%), 36 place (53%, $9.90 Place Return, 46 show (68%)

A field of 8 Classics hopefuls face off in Saturday's historic G1 Santa Anita Derby.

We surveyed the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for clues to success in the 9-furlong graded dirt Stakes at The Great Race Place and found that Avg. Last 3 Late Pace has produced 32% winners that have generated a $14.70 Win Return.

Among those are a quintet of Santa Anita Derby champs since 2014 - California Chrome ($3.40), Dortmund ($3.20), Roadster ($8.20) and the last two champs - Taiba ($10.60) and Practical Move ($4.00).

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Last 3 Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Florida Derby (G1) at Gulfstream Park
9F on Dirt (April 1)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 33 9-furlong graded dirt stakes at Gulfstream Park
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Last Turn Time
Factor Stats: 45 contenders, 14 winners (31%, $101.20 Win Return, 212 ROI%), 19 place (42%), 21 Show (46%)

Saturday's Florida Derby caps off an exciting 2024 South Florida route to the Kentucky Derby and is one of 10 Stakes races on the fascinating Gulfstream Park card.

We took the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for a spin for some Florida Derby insights & trends and found that the Last Turn Time handicapping factor has pointed to around one-third of the winners of the past 45 9-furlong graded dirt events at the Hallandale oval. And the Win Return is a whopping $101.20!

The sample includes 5 recent Florida Derby champs, including the double digit winner Known Agenda ($12.80) in 2021, as well as last year's runner-up Mage.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Last Turn Time slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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