Mervin Muniz Memorial H. (G2) at Fair Grounds
9F on Dirt (March 23, 2019)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 13 9-furlong stakes at Fair Grounds
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Average Last 3 Turn Time
Factor Stats: 13 contenders, 5 winners (38%, $49.20 flat win bet return, 289 ROI%), 8 win/place (61%, $20.20 flat place bet return & $7.20 flat show bet return).
Saturday's Louisiana Derby program is the apex of the Fair Grounds meeting with 8 stakes among the 13 races on the fantastic card. Race 11 is the $300,000 Mervin Muniz Memorial H. (G2) which kicks off a final Pick 3 that culminates with the big Kentucky Derby prep.
We used the Betmix Angler handicapping software to analyze the past 13 9-furlong grass stakes at Fair Grounds and found that Average of Last 3 Turn Time has been a good predictor of success. Nearly 40% of the contenders ranking first in this factor have had their pictures taken while showing a sparkling $40.20 flat win return. Among those are 2 of the past 5 Muniz heroes - Skyring ($17.40) and Enterprising ($14.20).