8.5F on All Weather (April 21)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 28 stakes at 8.5 furlongs for 3-year-olds over Woodbine main track
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Speed This Distance
Factor Stats: 32 contenders, 11 winners (34%, $26.30 flat win bet profit, 141 ROI%, 21 in the money 65%)
Woodbine kicks off its 2018 season on Saturday with a two-stakes card. Recently crowned Canadian Horse of the Year Pink Lloyd will be odds on to capture his ninth straight in the Jacques Cartier Stakes but the co-featured Wando Stakes figures to be a much more interesting handicapping puzzle. The 1 1/16 mile contest has attracted a field of 7 sophomores, some of whom have their sights set on the $1 million Queen's Plate on June 30.
Using the Betmix Angler handicapping software to analyze the last 28 three-year-old stakes going 1 1/16 miles on the Woodbine Polytrack course we find that Speed This Distance has been key for this race type. 11 of the 32 contenders (34%) have had found the winner's circle with another 10 filling out the extactor and triactor spots (66% in-the-money). A $2 flat bet on these contenders has shown a $26.30 win profit buoyed by Shaman Ghost, hero of the 2016 Marine Stakes at 13-1.
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