Pedigree Handicapping – Breeders’ Cup Decisions

When Breeders' Cup pre-entries were announced on October 24, a total of 23 horses were cross-entered in multiple Breeders' Cup races. In most cases the connections have all but decided which race to target but there are a few decisions yet to be finalized. We decided to utilize the Sire Search feature within the Betmix handicapping software to see if any insights could be gleaned.

Perhaps the biggest Breeders' Cup decision to be made is with Roaring Lion. Will he go in the Breeders' Cup Classic on the Churchill Downs main track or stay on course for the Turf over a surface on which he's already won a quartet of Group 1's?

Below is the Turf vs. Dirt performance comparison for stakes starters by Roaring Lion's sire, Kitten's Joy, along with the dirt stakes distance comparisons for the stallions Quality Road and Uncle Mo. The connections of the Quality Road son City of Light will choose between the $1,000,000 Dirt Mile and the 10-furlong $6,000,000 Classic. Uncle Mo's Mopotism has secured a spot in the $2,000,000 Distaff at 9 furlongs and is the first alternate for the 7-furlong $1,000,000 Filly & Mare Sprint.