Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint & Turf Sprint
5.5F on Turf
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 141 turf sprints at Churchill Downs
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Last 3 E1 Pace
Factor Stats: 149 contenders, 34 winners (22%, $30,60 Win Return), 60 Win/Place (40% $3.20 Place Return)
Turf Sprints have grown in number at North American tracks in recent years and there are now a pair of Breeders' Cup contests for the speedy turfers - Friday's inaugural Juvenile Turf Sprint and Saturday's Turf Sprint. Both races will be contested at 5.5F over the Churchill Downs turf course.
We have a good-sized sample of 141 turf sprints to analyze in the Betmix Angler handicapping software and we found a profitable angle for this race type. Average of Last 3 E1 Pace turns out to be a solid predictor of success with a 22% Win% and a sparkling $30.60 Win Return. The 40% total Win/Place rate also indicates this Factor is a good place to start when looking for a horse to key in these always competitive races.
Another resource for handicapping North American turf sprints is the May 31 Pedigree Handicapping analysis of turf sprint sires.
Best of luck on Breeders Cup weekend!
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