Ack Ack S. (G3)
8F on dirt at Churchill Downs (September 28)
Races Analyzed: Last 20 Churchill Downs 8F dirt stakes
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Average Last 3 Races Classes
Factor Stats: 21 contenders, 7 winners (33%) $24.40 Win Return, 13 place/show (61%), $1.80 place return, $7.70 show return.
The complexion of the Ack Ack Stakes changed when likely fave Omaha Beach stayed home in California. The race now features a very evenly-matched field of nine middle-distance runners.
We analyzed the past 20 one-mile dirt stakes at Churchill Downs in the Betmix Angler handicapping software and found that Average of Last 3 Race Classes has been highly predictive.
A third of the contenders ranking first in this factor have had their pictures taken and 61% have factored in the trifecta. Among the winners are three recent Ack Ack heroes - Awesome Slew (2017, $3.20), Bradester (2014, $4.40), Pants on Fire (2013, $7.00).
Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Average Last 3 Races Classes slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.