Alcibiades S. & Breeders Futurity
8.5F on dirt at Keeneland (October 4 & 5)
Races Analyzed: Last 14 dirt graded stakes @for 2YOs at Keeneland
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Average Lifetime Earnings
Factor Stats: 14 contenders, 6 winners (42%) $14.00 Win Return, 9 place/show (64%) $5.80 place return & 1.90 show return.
Keeneland is back with another tremendous "Fall Stars' weekend featuring many of the top horses in North America.
With the Alcibiades Stakes for fillies and the Breeders' Futurity for the colts, we will start to get a better idea of which flashy summer sprinters might be able to stay a route of ground. This uncertainty is one of the reasons these early two-turn juvenile races can be difficult to decipher.
Enter the Betmix Angler handicapping database. We queried Angler to mine the data on the 8.5 furlong juvenile dirt stakes at Keeneland since 2012 and found that Average Lifetime Earnings has been a key handicapping factor.
Around 42% of the qualifiers have crossed the wire in front and over two-thirds have hit the board. Among the winners are a trio of Alcibiades heroines, including the last two - Restless Rider ($4.60) & Heavenly Love ($13.40).
Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Average Lifetime Earnings slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.