Breeders' Cup Classic (G1)
10F on dirt at Santa Anita (November 2)
Races Analyzed: Last 16 10-furlong dirt Grade 1's at Santa Anita
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Last Late Pace
Factor Stats: 17 contenders, 6 winners (35%) $43.40 Win Return, 13 place/show (76%) $9.00 place return & 8.50 show return.
Here we go! Will it be the filly or the favorite? Baffert or McGaughey? Rosario or Smith?
This year's Breeders' Cup Classic is more riddle than most in recent years so we turned to the Betmix Angler handicapping database to look for some answers.
Looking at the 10-furlong dirt Grade 1's at Santa Anita since 2012, a span that includes a trio of BC Classics, we found that Last Late Pace has been a good predictor.
Over one third of the contenders ranking first in this factor have emerged with a trophy sparking a very generous Win Return of $43.40. Among the winners are Classic champs Arrogate ($5.40) and Mucho Macho Man ($10.00).
Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Last Late Paceslider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.