Davona Dale S. (G2) & Fred W. Hooper S. (G3)
8F on the dirt at Gulfstream Park (March 4)
Races Analyzed: 17 graded stakes at 8F furlongs on dirt
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Distance Pedigree Rating
Factor Stats: 23 contenders, 6 winners (26%, $49.40 flat win bet profit, 207 ROI%), 13 total in the money (56%, $19.40 flat place bet profit, 143 ROI% & $8.10 flat bet show profit 117 ROI%)
The mile distance, especially at the graded level, often demands a perfect combination of speed and stamina. So perhaps it’s not surprising to find that Distance Pedigree Rank has pointed to some juicy long shots in 8 furlong graded events on the Gulfstream Park main track.
Case in point is Ekati’s Phaeton, the $55.60 winner of the 2015 Davona Dale S. for sophomore fillies. It’s true that the daughter of Tale of Ekati is a big reason why this factor is in the black, but she’s also an example of why it’s likely so effective. She was a three-time winner, including a graded race, at 6 furlongs but had failed to hit the board in her previous races at a mile (on the turf) and at 7 furlongs. Her Distance Pedigree Rank made those efforts easier to forgive and made it easier to take a chance on her at 26-1.
The Distance Pedigree Rank factor can also be applied to the 8 furlong graded races for older runners like Saturday’s Fred W. Hooper Stakes. Fairly priced winners like Mshawish ($6.40/2016 Hal’s Hope S., Honor Code ($7.00/2015 Gulfstream Park H.) and Lea ($14.80/2014 Hal’s Hope S.) were all contenders on this factor.
Last Sharp Angles results: Enterprising ($8.00) 1st in Fair Grounds H.
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