Gold Cup at Santa Anita
10F on Dirt (May 26)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 13 Santa Anita dirt Graded Stakes at 10 furlongs
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Last Late Pace
Factor Stats: 13 contenders, 6 winners (46%, $51.40 flat win bet profit, 297 ROI%, 10 place/show $17.00 place bet profit & $7.90 show bet profit)
The historic Hollywood Gold Cup moved east to Santa Anita Park in 2014 where it remains one of four 10-furlong dirt Grade 1's for older horses in North America. With the Santa Anita Handicap among the others (along with the Breeders' Cup Classic and Jockey Club Gold Cup) a pretty good sample size has accumulated for this specific condition over the past few years. Using the Betmix Angler handicapping software we find that a very strong predictive factor has emerged as well.
Last Late Pace has pointed to the winners of nearly half of the the past 13 Gold Cup/Big 'Cap winners and over three quarters have hit the board. As shown above, the win, place and show flat bet profits are all juicy and the winner's sample includes 2015 Gold Cup hero Hard Aces ($17.80 to win) and this year's Big 'Cap winner Accelerate ($7.00).