Raven Run S. (G2)
7F on Dirt (October 17)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 31 Keeneland graded dirt stakes at 7F
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Average Last 3 E1 Pace
Factor Stats: 20 contenders, 6 winners (30%, $46.40 Win Bet Return, 216 ROI%), 9 place/show (45%, $14.60 Place Bet Return)
Two years ago, Shamrock Rose used an upset tally in the Raven Run Stakes as a springboard to victory in the Breeders' Cup F & M Sprint.
Time will tell if any of the 10 fillies lined up for Saturday's Raven Run will go on to greater glory, but handicappers must first decipher this very competitive field.
We scanned the Betmix Angler online handicapping database looking for clues to handicapping success in these 7-furlong graded dirt stakes at Keeneland and found that Jockey Current Meet has been very productive.
A full 30% of the contenders carrying the meet's top rider have cashed and cashed well - a $46.40 Win Return. The sample includes two of the past four Raven Run heroines - Lightstream the $6.80 winner under Julien Leparoux in 2016 and the aforementioned Shamrock Rose (Tyler Gaffalione) who returned $39.40 to her backers in 2018.
Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Jockey Current Meet slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.