Risen Star S. (G2) at Fair Grounds
9F on Dirt (February 13)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 17 9-furlong graded dirt stakes at Fair Grounds
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Last 3 Late Pace
Factor Stats: 18 contenders, 5 winners (27%, $52.60 Win Return, 256 ROI%), 12 show (66% $21.60 Place Return, $10.40 Show Return)
With each passing weekend the Kentucky Derby preps take on more and more importance. Case in point is Saturday's Risen Star Stakes in New Orleans that drew a field of 13 three-year-olds.
The Betmix Angler online handicapping database tells us that Avg. Last 3 Late Pace has been a predictive handicapping factor for the 9-furlong graded dirt stakes at Fair Grounds.
This factor was particularly effective last year when the Risen Star was carded at 9 furlongs for the first time and run in two divisions. Enforceable, the 4.60-1 runner up in the 1st division was top-ranked in Avg. Last 3 Late Pace as was Modernist, the $27.60 winner of the 2nd division.
Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Last 3 Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.