Sam F. Davis S. (G3) at Tampa Bay Downs
8.5F on Dirt (February 6)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 17 8.5-furlong graded dirt stakes at Tampa Bay Downs
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Last E2 Pace
Factor Stats: 19 contenders, 6 winners (31%, $27.80 flat win bet return, 173 ROI%), 8 show (42%)
The Sam F. Davis Stakes has drawn an overflow field of Kentucky Derby hopefuls, presenting a big challenge for horseplayers.
We took the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for a spin to look for clues in the 8.5 furlong graded dirt stakes at Tampa and we uncovered a lucrative handicapping factor.
Last E2 pace has pointed to 31% winners of this race type overall but, more specifically to the last THREE Sam F. Davis winners, all of whom paid double digits - Flameaway ($22.80) in 2018, Well Defined ($16.00) in 2019 and last year's hero Sole Volante ($13.60).
Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Last E2 pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.