Sam F. Davis S. (G3) at Tampa Bay Downs
8.5F on Dirt (February 8)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 14 8.5-furlong graded dirt stakes at Tampa Bay Downs
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Trainer Current Year
Factor Stats: 21 contenders, 7 winners (33%, $33.80 flat win bet return, 180 ROI%), 15 win/place/show (71%, $22.60 flat place bet return & $12.00 flat show bet return)
The Sam F. Davis S. has attracted one of the early Kentucky Derby favorites in unbeaten Independence Hall. While he figures to leave the gate as a heavy favorite, we scanned the Betmix Angler database to see if we could find an edge in this race.
We did find that trainers matter in the 8.5 furlong graded dirt stakes at Tampa. Since all of the races in the sample happen to be for colts prepping for the spring classics (the Sam F. Davis & the Tampa Bay Derby) there is some extra confidence.
One-third of the contenders have won, generating a healthy $33.30 Win Return. Over 70% of the contenders have hit the board so the Sharp Angles play can be a great starting point in constructing exotic tickets for the race.
Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Trainer This Year slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.