Sharp Angles – Sam F. Davis Stakes

Sam F. Davis S. at Tampa Bay Downs
8.5F on Dirt (February 9)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 12 8.5-furlong graded dirt stakes at Tampa Bay Downs
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Trainer This Year
Factor Stats: 19 contenders, 7 winners (36%, $37.80 flat win bet return, 199 ROI%), 13 win/place/show (68%, $20.40 flat place bet return & $8.60 flat show bet return)

The February 9 Sam F. Davis at Tampa Bay Downs is the next stop on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. The race has actually had a larger impact on the Belmont Stakes than the Kentucky Derby in recent years with 2017 Belmont winner Tapwrit running second to McCraken and the 2016 Davis winner Destin the eventual Belmont runner-up.

No matter the future impact of the race, the Betmix Angler handicapping software tells us that trainers make a difference in the 8.5 furlong graded stakes at Tampa. Overall, 36% of the winners and nearly 70% of all in-the-money finishers ranked first in the Trainers This Year factor. The sample includes four of the past six Davis winners:

  • 2013 winner Falling Sky ($17.80) trained by John Terranova
  • 2014 winner Vinceremos ($26.80) trained by Todd Pletcher
  • 2015 winner Ocean Knight (5.20) trained Kiaran McLaughlin
  • 2016 winner Destin ($10.00) Todd Pletcher

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