Tag Archives: Betmix

Betmix Tip – New Class Analysis Widget

One of the great things about the new BirdDog interface is that it will allow us to add all sorts of new tools (called widgets). You can click on the options button to pick the ones that you want to see.  You can also drag them around your screen to places that you want them. When you are happy with your layout click the Options button again and hit the "Save Layout Button."

We just added a new widget called "Class Analysis".  You will notice that the horse display pop-up has also changed to show you the Class rating of each previous race in the horse's PP line.

There is a new column called "Class Rtg." in the pop-up that tells you the class level of each previous race. If it is Green that means it was a "Higher Class" race than today's race, red means it was "lower class".

The Betmix class rating is based on much more than just the purse level of the race. We look at how good the horses in each race were. How fast have they run recently and in their careers, how much money they have earned recently and lifetime, what kinds of races they have been in recently and then finally the purse value of the race. You may encounter situations where a race with a higher purse value is rated as a lower class race. That is because the horses in the higher purse value race may not have been all that good in comparison to the horses in the lower purse value race.

"Keep yourself in the best company and your horses in the worst"

That's the motto that most good horse trainers live by, so its always valuable to know when a horse is truly dropping in "Class".

The new Class Analysis Widget provides a lot of information about how each horse performed from a class standpoint.

There is a lot of information in this widget, and to be perfectly honest with you, we haven't totally wrapped our heads around the best way to use it! One thing that I can tell you about this is that when Class doesn't really matter, then analyzing this table might not lead you to any great insights. When I say "Class doesn't matter" I mean that for races where class factors are not ranked that highly. You can reference the new icons we discussed above to get an idea of how important class factors are for a race type.However, I also know that many of you are huge believers in Class and if you are a serious class handicapper this tool will provide you with a lot of data and we look forward to hearing about how you are using it. Also, please let us know if you think anything should be added - we really do rely on user input to help us know what we should be working on.Here is the information in the table, and if you are having trouble seeing the image above take a look at the Free Bird Dog race to see how it is displayed.

Last Finish Position: where the horse finished in its last race.

Last Race Class: The class level of the horse's last race (Green is higher class, Red is lower Class)

Class Diff: The difference between the last race and today's race.

Last Win Class: The class level of the most recent race the horse won.

Days Since Last Win: How many days since the horse won its last race.

Avg Win Class: The average class level of all the races the horse has won.

Avg Finish Lower Class: The average finish position for the horse in races that were "Lower Class" than today's race.

Avg Finish Higher Class: The average finish position for the horse in races that were "Higher Class" than today's race.

Lengths Beaten Lower Class: The average number of lengths the horse was beaten in all of the races it ran that were "Lower Class" than today's race.

Lengths Beaten Higher Class: The average number of lengths the horse was beaten in all of the races it ran that were "Higher Class" than today's race.

Highest Win Class: The "Highest Class" race that the horse has won.

Give it a try now: BirdDog Free Race of the day

Betmix Tip – Which Factor Group is Best?

We recently added a Handicapping Overview widget to BirdDog that contains a quick ranking of the horses in the race based on several different approaches.
One of the sections we added was for Factor Groups. It shows how the horses rank in each factor category (Speed, Pace, Earnings, Trainer/Jock, etc.)We have added a handy icon next to each of those buttons that indicates how important the factor groups are. Depending on the race type you are handicapping the most important group will change. Speed may be very important when handicapping a 6F dirt allowance race at Aqueduct, but when you are working on a 1 mile turf claimer at Tampa you better look at Trainer/Jockey stats.The factor group buttons are also weighted appropriately.  There are 11 speed based factors, so depending on which race type you are looking at the weights of each of those factors will be different when you look at the Speed rankings.

Pay attention to the little "Signal Strength" icon next to each factor group button to see how important it is:

Betmix Tip – BirdDog For Beginners

BirdDog can provide you with all the handicapping information and tools you would ever want to see. Or, you can ease your way into it with some basic information that is very powerful. We added a new widget to BirdDog that will appeal to new users and experts. It's called "Handicapping Overview" and it provides you with some very accurate handicapping without having to do a thing. Give it a try using the free BirdDog race of the day, or watch the video at the bottom of this email for more info.

Quick Handicapping Buttons

Top 10 - Uses a weighted blend of the 10 most important factors for the race type
Win% - Uses a weighted blend of the factors with the best win percentages
Hit The Board - Uses factors that predict high percentage of horses that ran 1, 2 or 3
Blend - Uses a mix of factors from each category (Speed, Pace, Earnings, etc.)
Longshot - Uses a mix based on factors with high win ROI numbers.
Overall Rankings - Uses the ideal setting from Overall Rankings.  This is based on the setting that predicted the most exactas within the top 4 ranked horses of the sample of similar races.

These rankings will give you an idea of how the horses rank within each category using a weighted mix of the factors within that group.  Factors that are more highly ranked within the group will be given more weight.  You can click on the buttons the represent each factor to see the mix used.

The "Score" rankings are based on ranking the horses using the default factors in the main horse table: Last Finish Position, Lengths Beaten, Speed Last Race and Class Difference. The score rankings are computed by looking at each horse's rank within each of those factors.

The "BirdDog" rankings use the top 10 factors from the BirdDog table. This table looks at a large number of similar races with the same amount of starters as the race you are looking at. If you are handicapping a 6f dirt claiming race with 8 starters, the BirdDog stats will be based on a large group of races that were 6f dirt with exactly 8 starters. The BirdDog table lets you see how often a horse wins when ranked at a certain position. The BirdDog ranks takes the 10 best factors for the race type and computes a score from that.

The combined results of all of the rankings (Quick Handicapping, Factor Groups, Score & BirdDog)

If you are already using BirdDog you can add this widget to your screen by selecting options and then selecting the Handicapping Overview check box:



Take a look at this video for more information about the Handicapping Overview:

Give it a try now:  BirdDog Free Race of the day