Category Archives: Handicapping Blog

Sharp Angle – Risen Star S.

Risen Star S. (G2) at Fair Grounds
9F on Dirt (February 17)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 23 9-furlong graded dirt stakes at Fair Grounds
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Last 3 Late Pace
Factor Stats: 24 contenders, 5 winners (20%, $40.60 Win Return, 184 ROI%), 8 Place (33% $9.60 Place Return) 14 show (58% $4.20 Show Return)

Saturday´s Risen Star Stakes has drawn an incredibly competitive field of 12 sophomores colts vying for a Kentucky Derby berth.

The race begged for a deep dive into the Betmix Angler online handicapping database and we found that Avg. Last 3 Late Pace has been a lucrative handicapping factor for the 9-furlong graded dirt stakes at Fair Grounds.

Over 20% of the contenders ranking first in this factor have found the winner's circle, generating a $40.60 Win Return and nearly 60% have factored in the trifecta, including Zandon in 2022.

Among the recent winners ranking first in this handicapping factor is Modernist, the $27.60 winner of the 2nd division of the Risen Star in 2020, the first year this race was carded at 9 furlongs.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Last 3 Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Sam F. Davis S.

Sam F. Davis S. (G3) at Tampa Bay Downs
8.5F on Dirt (February 12)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 26 8.5-furlong graded dirt stakes at Tampa Bay Downs
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. of Last 3 E2 Pace
Factor Stats: 26 contenders, 11 winners (42%, $32.60 flat win bet return, 162 ROI%), 12 Place (46%), 14 Show (53%)

The Sam F. Davis Stakes has drawn a full field of 12 Kentucky Derby hopefuls, presenting a big challenge for horseplayers.

We queried the Betmix Angler online handicapping database about the 8.5 furlong graded dirt stakes at Tampa and we uncovered a lucrative handicapping factor that's been especially relevant to the Davis.

We found that the Avg. of Last 3 E2 Pace factor has pointed to 42% winners of this race type overall and, more importantly, to the last SIX Sam F. Davis winners:
2018: Flameaway ($22.80)
2019: Well Defined ($16.00)
2020: Sole Volante ($13.60)
2021: Candy Many Rocket ($8.20)
2022: Classic Causeway ($5.20)
2023: Litigate ($7.60)

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. of Last 3 E2 Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Holy Bull S.

Holy Bull S. (G3) at Gulfstream Park
8.5F on Dirt (February 3)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 52 8.5-furlong graded dirt stakes at Gulfstream Park
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Best Speed Fast Track
Factor Stats: 61 contenders, 27 winners (44%, $65.60 Win Return, 153 ROI%), 35 place (57%, 4.40 Place Return) & 46 Show (75%, $5.30 Show Return)

Fierceness parlayed his dominant Breeders' Cup Juvenile victory into Eclipse Award hardware this week and he kicks off his 3-year-old campaign in Saturday's $250,000 Holy Bull Stakes (G3) at Gulfstream Park.

He'll face 7 rivals in the Holy Bull and the main questions for handicappers is "is he vulnerable?".

We queried the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database for clues and found that the Best Speed Fast Track factor has been key in the 8.5 furlong graded dirt stakes at Gulfstream and in the Holy Bull specifically.

Some 44% of contenders ranking first in this factor have won, producing a healthy $65.60 Win Return. Among the winners are six Holy Bull heroes in the last decade - Greatest Honour ($7.60) winner of one of the Holy Bull divisions in 2021, preceded by Audible ($8.40), Moyhamen ($2.60), Upstart ($6.20), Cairo Prince ($6.20) and Itsmyluckyday ($11.40).

What's more is the fact that 75% of the contenders have hit the board, so it surely looks wise strongly consider this factor into your Holy Bull wagering strategy.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Best Speed Fast Track slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Pegasus World Cup

Pegasus World Cup (G1)
9F on Dirt at Gulfstream Park (January 27)
Races Analyzed
: Last 29 Gulfstream Park 9-furlong Graded dirt stakes
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Speed Last Race
Factor Stats: 34 contenders, 15 winners (44%) $22.40 Win Return, 132 ROI%, 22 Place (64%) $15.90 Place Return, 27 Show (79%) $13.20 Show Return.

Racing fans will be treated to the first big Saturday of 2024 when Gulfstream Park offers its annual Pegasus World Cup card.

We turned to the Betmix online handicapping database for a deeper perspective on the Pegasus and the query turned up a positive handicapping factor.

The Speed Last Race factor has pointed to 44% winners in the 9-furlong Graded dirt stakes at Gulfstream Park over the past 11 years, producing a very healthy $22.40 Win Return. The place/show returns are also double-digit plus figures.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Speed Last Race slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Sunshine Classic S.

Sunshine Classic S. at Gulfstream Park
8.5F on Dirt (January 20)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 128 8.5-furlong dirt stakes at Gulfstream Park
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Best Speed Fast Track
Factor Stats: 148 contenders, 50 winners (33%, $50.80 Win Return, 117 ROI%), 71 place (48%), 64% Show

A salty field of Florida-breds face the starter in the $75,000 Sunshine Classic, the Saturday feature at Gulfstream Park.

A deep dive into the Betmix Angler online handicapping databases reveals that Best Speed Fast Track has been a profitable handicapping factor in the 8.5 furlong dirts stakes at the Hallandale oval.

One-third of the contenders ranking first in this factor have won, producing a healthy $50.80 Win Return, with two-thirds factoring in the trifecta.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Best Speed Fast Track slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Likely Exchange S.

Likely Exchange S. at Turfway Park
8F on All Weather (January 13)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 20 Turfway Park Stakes at 8F
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Jockey 6 Month Win %
Factor Stats: 20 contenders, 6 winners (30%, $33.32 Win Return, 183 ROI%), 7 Place (35%, $1.04 Place Return), 9 Show (45%, $3.84 Show Return)

A field of 11 fillies and mares square off in a highly competitive renewal of the $125,000 Likely Exchange S. at Turfway Park

We scanned the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database and found that the Jockey 6 Month Win % handicapping factor has generated some very good percentages in these 8-furlong Stakes in Northern Kentucky. The Win % is 30%, generating a $33.32 Win Return, and plus Returns across the board.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Jockey 6 Month Win % slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Limehouse S.

Limehouse S. at Gulfstream Park
6F on Dirt (January 6)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 103 Gulfstream Park non-graded dirt Stakes at 6F
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Avg. 3 Last Late Pace
Factor Stats: 104 contenders, 28 winners (27%, $13.40 Win Return, 106 ROI%), 43 Place (41%), 66 Show (63%)

A field of 7 sprinters kick of their sophomore campaigns in the Limehouse Stakes, one of a trio of Stakes on the Saturday card at Gulfstream Park.

We scanned the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database and found that the Average Last 3 Late Pace handicapping factor has generated some very good percentages in the non-graded 6F dirt sprints at the Hallandale over. The Win % is 27%, generating a $13.40 Win Return, while 63% of the contenders have factored in the trifecta.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Average Last 3 Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Harlan’s Holiday S.

Harlan's Holiday S (G3). at Gulfstream Park
8.5F on Dirt (December 30)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 51 Gulfstream Park Graded dirt Stakes at 8.5F
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Best Speed Last 3
Factor Stats: 62 contenders, 26 winners (42%, $47.20 Win Return, 138 ROI%), 37 Place (59% $10.40 Place Return), 46 Show (74%, $.70 Show Return)

A deep field of 11, many with aspirations for next month's rich Pegasus World Cup, goes postward in Saturday's Harlan's Holiday S. (G3) at Gulfstream Park.

We scanned the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database and found that the Best Speed Last 3 handicapping factor has pointed to 41% winners of this racetype. It's also generated positive Returns across the board, including a smart $47.20 Win Return.

The winners in this sample include four of the past seven Harlan's Holiday winners, including the last two, Skippylongstocking ($8.40) and Fearless ($3.20).

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Best Speed Last 3  slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – H. Allen Jerkens H.

H. Allen Jerkens H. at Gulfstream Park
6F on All Weather (December 16)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 7 turf Stakes at Gulfstream Park going 12F or longer
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Trainer 2-Year Win % This Race Type
Factor Stats: 10 contenders, 5 winners (50%, $22.20 Win Return, 211 ROI%), 6 Place (60% $2.40 Place Return), 7 Show (70%, $13.70 Show Return)

There are turf marathons and then there is the H. Allen Jerkens H. which covers 2 full miles over the newly gorgeous Gulfstream Park turf course.

We scanned the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database and found a very intriguing Sharp Angle for this very intriguing contest. Angler reveals that the Trainer 2-Year Win % This Race Type handicapping factor has pointed to 50% winners of this racetype while generating a smart $22.20 Win Return.

There are only 7 races in this data sample but this angle seem to pass muster based on common sense as well - there are definitely certain trainers that do will with turf marathoners in general. Angler lets handicappers quantify what is strongly suspected anecdotally.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Last 3 Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Sharp Angle – Bear Fan S.

Bear Fan S. at Golden Gate
6F on All Weather (December 10)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 58 6-furlong main track Stakes at Golden Gate
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Avg. Last 3 Late Pace
Factor Stats: 64 contenders, 18 winners (28%, $107.60 Win Return, 184 ROI%), 25 Place (39%), 37 Show (56%)

A field of 7 filly and mare sprinters are set to face the starter in the Bear Fan Stakes, the Saturday feature at Golden Gate Fields.

We scanned the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database and found a very intriguing Sharp Angle for this one. Angler reveals that the Avg. Last 3 Late Pace handicapping factor has not only pointed to 28% winners of this racetype but to an astounding $107.60 Win Return.

What's even more compelling is that it´s not just one long shot winner that produced that juicy Win Return, but actually 6 double digit winners, including 3 that paid over $40!

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Last 3 Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
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