Ack Ack S. (G3)
8F on dirt (September 30)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: 21 stakes at one mile on dirt at Churchill Downs
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Last Late Pace
Factor Stats: 23 contenders, 7 winners (30%, $31.40 flat win bet profit, 168% ROI) 10 win/place (43%, $6.00 place bet profit, 114% ROI)
The Breeders' Cup prep season begins in earnest this weekend with big days at Belmont Park and Santa Anita. The Churchill Downs card also features multiple stakes, including the Ack Ack S. (G3) that serves as the midwest prep for the BC Dirt Mile. Last Late Pace has proven to be a good indicator of success in the mile dirt stakes at Churchill Downs (which are at one turn). The seven winners in this sample have gone off at average odds of nearly 4-1.