Keeneland Handicapping Tips

Friday is opening day for Keeneland's Fall Meet.  Its a short meet: (Oct. 6-28), and when you run into short meets at tracks with big purses like Keeneland, the best approach is often to focus on dominant trainers and jockeys.

Keeneland is located in Lexington, KY,which is the heart of the thoroughbred industry. Most prominent owners, breeders,trainers and jockeys are focused on getting a win there in front of the types of people that could be future customers or employers. Trainers often prep their horses at other tracks for wins at Keeneland. Owners tell their trainers to get the horse ready for this meet so they can get their pictures taken with friends and family, etc.

Looking at the past 3 fall meets in Angler, we are able to identify the trainers, jockeys and T/J combos you should pay close attention to:

Keeneland Fall Meets (2014-2016)
Trainer Starts Wins Places Shows Win% Profit on $2 win bet
Mark Casse 102 28 38 47 27.45 $18.20
Todd Pletcher 82 22 37 44 26.83 $35.80
Ken McPeek 107 21 40 49 19.63 $42.80
Graham Motion 89 19 28 39 21.35 $47.00
Ian Wilkes 123 15 27 42 12.2 $30.80
Andrew McKeever 35 6 12 13 17.14 $73.80
Victoria Oliver 48 6 8 14 12.5 $33.80
Chad Brown 33 5 8 13 15.15 $26.00
Michelle Lovell 14 5 7 9 35.71 $21.80
Chris Hartman 19 4 5 7 21.05 $15.00
Angel Montano 12 4 6 7 33.33 $27.40
Jockey Starts Wins Places Shows Win% Profit on $2 win bet
Julien Leparoux 296 57 105 140 19.26 ($65.80)
CJ Lanerie 320 53 94 145 16.56 ($184.40)
Florent Geroux 250 36 66 100 14.4 ($100.80)
Ricardo Santana 187 26 46 66 13.9 $62.60
Chris Landeros 136 22 35 44 16.18 $187.80
Shaun Bridgmohan 149 21 37 53 14.09 ($113.00)
Paco Lopez 109 18 37 60 16.51 ($56.60)
John Velazquez 64 16 26 30 25 $22.40
HOT COMBOS Starts Wins Places Shows Win% Profit on $2 win bet
Casse/Leparoux 30 14 18 19 46.67 $36.60
McPeek/Leparoux 25 8 11 13 32 $32.00
Wilkes/Landeros 34 7 9 11 20.59 $109.00
McPeek/Landeros 25 6 10 11 24 $62.80
Motion/Prado 9 4 4 4 44.44 $29.40
Casse/Florent 10 4 4 4 40 $18.20
Pletcher/Rosario 8 4 5 6 50 $6.20

Breaking down the race by Dirt/Turf and Sprint/Route, the information below shows you the best factor combinations to look for:

Dirt Sprint Matches Wins Win% Profit on $2 Win Bet
1st Best Speed Last 3 & 1st Avg E2 Pace 85 34 40 $19.80
Dirt Route
1st Avg Speed Last 3 & 1st Avg E2 Pace 51 21 41.2 ($0.08)
Turf Sprint
1st Avg Last 3 Race Class 14 5 35.7 $42.40
Turf Route
Won last race & Top 3 in Speed Last Race 109 25 22.9 $46.60

The best way to use this information is to build Trainer / Jockey Angles.  If you are new to Betmix, or have not yet worked with Angler, take a look at this video that explains how easy it is to create an angle. Putting this information into Angler will pay off handsomely at Keeneland and at other tracks you play.

Trainer / Jockey Angles
 

Get started with your own angles today at Betmix.