There are four Breeders' Cup races for older runners on the turf. In the first Sharp Angles post we took a look at the Turf Sprint. Today we highlight some potentially profitable factors for the Turf, Mile and Filly & Mare Turf
Turf - 12 furlongs on the turf (starts on downhill course)
Races Analyzed: 7 Graded races at 12 furlongs on turf (including 2013 & 2014 Breeders’ Cup Turfs)
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Best Speed Last 3
Factor Stats: Has won 3 of the 7 races (43%) for $18.80 Win ROI
We have a small sample here but this factor highlighted the most recent BC Turf winner at Santa Anita - Main Sequence (pictured), who got past likely 2016 favorite Flintshire at a $14.04 mutuel.
Other ‘speed’ factors like Best Last Speed have also proven profitable in this race type at Santa Anita.
Mile - 8 furlongs on the turf (two turns)
Races Analyzed: 13 Grade 1 races at 8 furlongs on turf (including 2013 & 2014 Breeders’ Cup Miles)
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Average Turf Earnings
Factor Stats: Has won 6 of the 13 races (46%) for $46.40 Win ROI
This factor has pointed to a pair of double digit winners, including Midnight Storm, the $11.20 victor in this summer’s Shoemaker Mile. Wise Dan is also included in the sample for his second Mile score in 2013 ($3.60)
Filly & Mare Turf - 10 furlongs on the turf (starts on downhill course)
Races Analyzed: 8 Graded 1 for fillies/mares at 12 furlongs on turf (including 2013 & 2014 Breeders’ Cup F & M Turfs)
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Average of Last 3 E2 Pace
Factor Stats: Has won 4 of the 8 races (50%) for $19.80 Win ROI
We’d like to see a little higher ROI on an Angle that’s hit at a 50% rate but this factor has produced the last two Breeders’ Cup F & M Turf heroines at Santa Anita - Dank ($5) in 2013 and Dayatthespa ($13) in 2014.
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