Elkhorn S. (G3) at Keeneland
12F on Turf (April 10)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 31 12-furlong graded turf stakes at Keeneland
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Best 2 of Last 3 Speed
Factor Stats: 37 contenders, 9 winners (24%, $32.60 flat win bet return, 144 ROI%), 19 show (51%)
The Elkhorn Stakes highlights the final Saturday card of the 2021 Keeneland Spring meeting and the turf marathon has drawn a typically competitive 10-horse field.
We used the Betmix Angler online handicapping database to see what handicapping factors have been predictive in these grassy graded long-distance heats and found that Avg. Best 2 of Last 3 Speed may be the one to focus on.
Nearly a quarter of the contenders ranking first in this factor have been led into the infield winner's circle while producing a $32.60 Win Return. The sample includes the last three Elkhorn winners: Zulu Alpha ($4.00), Bigger Picture ($16.60) and One Go All Go ($21.20).
Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Best 2 of Last 3 Speed slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.