All posts by Matt O

Sharp Angle – Whitmore S.

Whitmore S. (G3)
6F on Dirt at Oaklawn Park (March 18, 2023)
Races Analyzed
: Last 11 Oaklawn Park 6-furlong Graded stakes
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Avg. Earnings Today´s Track
Factor Stats: 11 contenders, 6 winners (54%) $6.20 Win Return, 128 ROI%, 9 Place (81%, 5.30 Place Return), 10 Show (90%, 9.30 Show Return)

A field of 10 salty sprinters are set to square off in Saturday´s $200,0000 Whitmore S. (G3), one of two Graded events on the Oaklawn Park card.

We fired up the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database to look for clues in the 6-furlong graded Stakes at the Hot Springs oval and found that the Avg. Earnings Today´s Track has produced 54% winners and positive across the board returns. In fact, only 1 of the 11 contenders ranking first in this factor has finished out of the trifecta!

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Earnings Today´s Track slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
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Sharp Angle – Beholder Mile

Beholder Mile (G1) at Santa Anita
8F on Dirt (March 11)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 14 8-furlong Grade 1 dirt stakes at Santa Anita
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Best 2 of Last 3 Speed
Factor Stats: 18 contenders, 9 winners (50%, $39.80 Win Return, 210 ROI%), 27 place (66%, $4.30 Place Return, 413 Show (72%)

The lone Grade 1 in North America this second weekend in March is the Beholder Mile for older fillies and mares at Santa Anita.

A well-matched field of 8 is set to face the starter so we turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database and found that the Best 2 of Last 3 Speed handicapping factor that has been productive in the one mile Grade 1 dirt stakes at The Great Race Place.

Half of the contenders ranking first in this factor have won, producing a healthy $39.90 Win Return, not to mention that 72% of the contenders have participated in the trifecta.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Best 2 of Last 3 Speed slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
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Sharp Angle – Fountain of Youth S.

Fountain of Youth S. (G2) at Gulfstream Park
8.5F on Dirt (March 4)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 48 8.5-furlong graded dirt stakes at Gulfstream Park
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Best 2 of Last 3 Speed
Factor Stats: 52 contenders, 22 winners (42%, $44.20 Win Return, 142 ROI%), 27 place (71%, $29.40 Place Return, 46 Show (88%, $23.10 Show Return)

Saturday´s Fountain of Youth is the next step on the Gulfstream Park road to the Kentucky Derby and a typically competitive field of 10 is set to break from the starting gate.

We turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database and uncovered the Best 2 of Last 3 Speed handicapping factor that has produced some truly astonishing results in the 8.5 furlong graded dirt stakes in South Florida.

Some 42% of contenders ranking first in this factor have won, producing a healthy $44.20 Win Return and an increbible 88% have factored in the trifecta. Among the winners are two of the past three FOY heroes, Greatest Honour ($4.00) and Ete Indian ($8.60), and last month´s Holy Bull S. winner Rocket Can, who returns for the Fountain of Youth.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Best 2 of Last 3 Speed slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
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Sharp Angle – Rebel S. & Honeybee S.

Rebel S. (G2) & Honeybee S. (G3) at Oaklawn Park
8.5F on Dirt (February 25)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 83 8.5-furlong graded stakes at Oaklawn Park
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Last 3 Turn Time
Factor Stats: 92 contenders, 22 winners (24%, $104.60 Win Return, 156 ROI%), 32 Place (34%), 53 Show (57%, $14.50 Show Return)

The train towards the Kentucky Derby weekend rolls on and gains steam with every passing week. Next stop: Oaklawn Park, host of Saturday's $1 million Rebel Stakes (G2) for colts with Derby aspirations and the Honeybee S. (G3) for fillies aiming for the lilies.

The Betmix Angler online handicapping database tells us that Avg. Last 3 Turn Time has produced 24% winners of the 8.5 furlong graded stakes in Hot Springs since 2012.

It's true that the wild $104.60 Win Return is due in large part to Super Steed, the 62-1 winner of the 2019 Southwest Stakes. However, this handicapping factor has pointed to two other recent Rebel winners - Magnum Moon ($8.00) in 2018 and Concert Tour ($5.40) in 2021. The latest success with this factor came just three weeks ago when A Mo Reay captured the Bayakoa S. for older distaffers, generating a $6.20 Win mutuel.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Last 3 Turn Time slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
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Sharp Angle – Risen Star S.

Risen Star S. (G2) at Fair Grounds
9F on Dirt (February 18)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 21 9-furlong graded dirt stakes at Fair Grounds
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Last 3 Late Pace
Factor Stats: 22 contenders, 5 winners (22%, $44.60 Win Return, 201 ROI%), 8 Place (36% $13.60 Place Return) 14 show (63% $8.20 Show Return)

Saturday´s Risen Star Stakes has drawn an incredibly competitive field of 14 sophomores colts all vying for a Kentucky Derby berth.

The race begged for a deep dive into the Betmix Angler online handicapping database and we found that Avg. Last 3 Late Pace has been a predictive handicapping factor for the 9-furlong graded dirt stakes at Fair Grounds.

Among the recent winners ranking first in this handicapping factor is Modernist, the $27.60 winner of the 2nd division of the Risen Star in 2020, the first year this race was carded at 9 furlongs.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Last 3 Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
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Sharp Angle – El Camino Real Derby

El Camino Real Derby at Golden Gate Fields
9F on All Weather (February 11)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 10 9-furlong all weather stakes at Golden Gate
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Average Speed Last 3
Factor Stats: 14 contenders, 4 winners (28%, $3.60 Win Return, 112 ROI%), 6 place/show (42%)

Saturday´s El Camino Real Derby provides the first opportunity this year for the sophomore set to route 9 furlongs along with offering an automatic berth to the Preakness Stakes at Pimlico.

A field of 8 is set for the Golden Gate Fields feature and the Betmix Angler online handicapping database tells us that the Average Speed Last 3 handicapping factor has been predictive for this racetype and for the El Camino Real Derby specifically. Four of the past 8 Derby champs have ranked first in this factor, including Metaboss, the $15.20 winner in 2014.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Average Speed Last 3 slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
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Sharp Angle – Holy Bull S.

Holy Bull S. (G3) at Gulfstream Park
8.5F on Dirt (February 5)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 45 8.5-furlong graded dirt stakes at Gulfstream Park
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Best Speed Fast Track
Factor Stats: 53 contenders, 25 winners (47%, $68.20 Win Return, 164 ROI%), 32 place (60%, 9.70 Place Return) & 43 Show (81%, $13.40 Show Return)

An octet of evenly-matched sophomore colts with Kentucky Derby dreams line up for Saturday´s $250,000 Holy Bull Stakes (G3) at Gulfstream Park.

A query of the Betmix Angler online handicapping databases shows that the Best Speed Fast Track factor has been key in the 8.5 furlong graded dirts stakes at Gulfstream and in the Holy Bull specifically.

Some 47% of contenders ranking first in this factor have won, producing a healthy $68.20 Win Return. Among the winners are six Holy Bull heroes in the last decade - Greatest Honour ($7.60) winner of one of the Holy Bull divisions in 2021, preceded by Audible ($8.40), Moyhamen ($2.60), Upstart ($6.20), Cairo Prince ($6.20) and Itsmyluckyday ($11.40). Last year´s play was runner up Simplification.

What's more is the fact that 81% of the contenders have hit the board, so it surely looks wise strongly consider this factor into your Holy Bull wagering strategy.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Best Speed Fast Track slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
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Sharp Angle – Pegasus World Cup

Pegasus World Cup (G1)
9F on Dirt at Gulfstream Park (January 28)
Races Analyzed
: Last 29 Gulfstream Park 9-furlong Graded dirt stakes
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Speed Last Race
Factor Stats: 31 contenders, 14 winners (45%) $25.8 Win Return, 141 ROI%, 21 Place (67%) $19.70 Place Return, 26 Show (86%) $17.10 Show Return.

Racing fans will be treated to the first big Saturday of 2023 when Gulfstream Park offers its annual Pegasus World Cup card.

We turned to the Betmix online handicapping database for a deeper perspective on the Pegasus and the query turned up a positive handicapping factor.

The Speed Last Race factor has pointed to 45% winners in the 9-furlong dirt Graded Stakes at Gulfstream Park over the past 10 years, producing a very healthy $25.80 Win Return. The place/show returns are also will into green figures.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Speed Last Race slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
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Sharp Angle – Leonatus S.

Leonatus S. at Turfway Park
8F on All Weather (January 21)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 23 8-furlong Stakes at Turfway Park
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Trainer 2 Year Win % This Race Type
Factor Stats: 23 contenders, 5 winners (21%) $41.32 Win Return, (189 ROI%), 8 Place (34%) $25.64 Place Return, 10 Show (43%) $5.44 Show Return

A field of 9 sophomores line up for Saturday´s $125,000 Leonatus Stakes at the newly-reburbished Turfway Park in Northern Kentucky.

The group has tallied only 9 combined victories, none in Stakes, so we turned to the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database for insights on who may be sitting on a breakthrough performance.

Angler indicates that the Trainer 2 Year Win % This Race Type handicapping factor has proven lucrative in the 8-furlong Stakes at the Florence, Ky oval, producing 21% winners, 43% in the money finishes while generating positive across the board Returns.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Trainer 2 Year Win % This Race Type slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
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Sharp Angle – Fifth Season S.

Fifth Season S. at Oaklawn Park
8F on Dirt (January 14)

Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 41 8-furlong non-graded main at Oaklawn
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Avg. of Last 3 E2 Pace
Factor Stats: 42 contenders, 13 winners (31%) $49.40 Win Return, (158 ROI%), 20 Place (47%) $24.60 Place Return, 28 Show (66%) $9.70 Show Return

The $150,000 Fifth Season Stakes, the Saturday feature at Oaklawn Park, has drawn a salty field of 10 seasoned older colts and geldings.

The field includes defending champ R Rated Superstar and Breeders´Cup veteran Ginobilli and we turned to the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database for clues to cashing.

Angler indicates that Avg. of Last 3 E2 Pace has been highly predictive and lucrative in the 8-furlong listed stakes in Hot Springs, producing 30% winners, 66% in the money finishes and positive Returns across the board.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. of Last 3 E2 Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Want to look for your own Angles using Betmix handicapping software?
Click for the Betmix Angler tutorial
Click to subscribe to Betmix