Elkhorn S. (G2)
12F on the turf at Keeneland (April 22)
Races Analyzed: 40 Keeneland grade stakes at 12 furlongs on turf
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Jockey Current Meet
Factor Stats: 51 contenders, 8 winners (15%, $34.20 Win Return, 133 ROI%), 19 Place (37%, $18.60 Place Return), 25 Show 49%, $6.10 Show Return)

Sometimes finding a winner is as easy as hopping aboard with the hottest jockey. That appears to be the way to go in the marathon turf stakes at Keeneland. The past 40 12-furlong stakes at the Lexington oval have yielded a total of 51 contenders ranked first in Jockey Current Meet. Eight (15%) have won, half of them at double-digit odds. The flat win bet profit on those 21 contenders is a juicy $34.20.

Nearly half of the contenders have hit the board so this factor is very good place to start when putting together an exotics ticket.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Jockey Current Meet slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

Last week’s results:

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Lexington S. (G3) at 8.5F on Dirt (April 15)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 11 editions of the Lexington
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Last 3 Purse
Factor Stats: 15 contenders, 4 winners (26%, $45.60 Win Return 252 ROI%), 5 Place (33%, $8.80 Place Return), 8 Show (59%, $8.00 Show Return)

Last call for Kentucky Derby points! That will be the underlying theme when the bugler calls 11 sophomore colts postward for the Lexington Stakes on Saturday afternoon at Keeneland.

It´s been an exceptionally competitive Derby prep season, as evidenced by the fact that 45 qualifying points doesn't guarantee a spot in the 2023 Run for the Roses. Horseplayers face yet another handicapping challenge with this Lexington field so we turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for insights.

Angler shows us that the Avg. Last 3 Purse handicapping factor has produced good results in the Lexington, pointing to 4 of the past 11 winners including a pair of double digit winners in Senior Investment ($24.20 in 2017) and King Fury ($38.40 in 2021).

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Last 3 Purse slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Santa Anita Derby (G1) at Santa Anita
9F on Dirt (April 8)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 56 9-furlong graded dirt stakes at Santa Anita
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Last 3 Late Pace
Factor Stats: 61 contenders, 21 winners (34%, $22.70 Win Return, 118 ROI%), 33 place (54%, $6.70 Place Return, 42 show (68%)

A field of 9 Kentucky Derby aspirants face off in Saturday´s historic Santa Anita Derby.

We surveyed the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for clues to success in the 9-furlong graded dirt Stakes at The Great Race Place and found that Avg. Last 3 Late Pace has produced 34% winners that have produced a $22.70 Win Return.

Among those are a quartet of Santa Anita Derby champs since 2014 - California Chrome ($3.40), Dortmund ($3.20), Roadster ($8.20) and last year´s hero Taiba ($10.60).

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Last 3 Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Florida Derby (G1) at Gulfstream Park
9F on Dirt (April 1)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 31 9-furlong graded dirt stakes at Gulfstream Park
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Last Turn Time
Factor Stats: 43 contenders, 14 winners (32%, $105.20 Win Return, 222 ROI%), 18 place (41%), 20 Show (46%)

Saturday´s Florida Derby caps off an exciting 2023 South Florida route to the Kentucky Derby and is one of 10 Stakes races on the fascinating Gulfstream Park card.

We took the Betmix Angler online handicapping database for a spin for some Florida Derby insights & trends and found that the Last Turn Time handicapping factor has pointed to around one-third of the winners of the past 43 9-furlong graded dirt events at the Hallandale oval. And the Win Return is a whopping $105.20!

The sample includes 5 recent Florida Derby champs including the double digit winner Known Agenda ($12.80) in 2021.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Last Turn Time slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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9F on Turf (March 25, 2022)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 21 9-furlong graded turf stakes at Fair Grounds
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Average Last 3 Turn Time
Factor Stats: 22 contenders, 6 winners (27%, $38.00 Win Return, 186 ROI%), 8 Place (36%, $15.20 Place Return), 10 Show (45%)

Handicappers are presented with some solid betting opportunities on Saturday´s big 8-Stakes card at Fair Grounds.

One potentially lucrative race for horseplayers is the Mervin Muniz Memorial that drew a salty group of nine middle distance turf runners.

We used the Betmix Angler handicapping software to analyze the past 21 9-furlong grass stakes at Fair Grounds and found that Average of Last 3 Turn Time has been a good predictor of success.

Nearly one third of the contenders ranking first in this factor have had their pictures taken while showing a sparkling $38.00 flat win return. Among those are 4 Muniz heroes since 2014 - Skyring ($17.40), Take The Stand ($18), Bricks and Mortar ($2.60) and Factor This ($21).

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Whitmore S. (G3)
6F on Dirt at Oaklawn Park (March 18, 2023)
Races Analyzed: Last 11 Oaklawn Park 6-furlong Graded stakes
Date Range: January 1, 2013 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st Avg. Earnings Today´s Track
Factor Stats: 11 contenders, 6 winners (54%) $6.20 Win Return, 128 ROI%, 9 Place (81%, 5.30 Place Return), 10 Show (90%, 9.30 Show Return)

A field of 10 salty sprinters are set to square off in Saturday´s $200,0000 Whitmore S. (G3), one of two Graded events on the Oaklawn Park card.

We fired up the powerful Betmix Angler online handicapping database to look for clues in the 6-furlong graded Stakes at the Hot Springs oval and found that the Avg. Earnings Today´s Track has produced 54% winners and positive across the board returns. In fact, only 1 of the 11 contenders ranking first in this factor has finished out of the trifecta!

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Earnings Today´s Track slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Beholder Mile (G1) at Santa Anita
8F on Dirt (March 11)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 14 8-furlong Grade 1 dirt stakes at Santa Anita
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Best 2 of Last 3 Speed
Factor Stats: 18 contenders, 9 winners (50%, $39.80 Win Return, 210 ROI%), 27 place (66%, $4.30 Place Return, 413 Show (72%)

The lone Grade 1 in North America this second weekend in March is the Beholder Mile for older fillies and mares at Santa Anita.

A well-matched field of 8 is set to face the starter so we turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database and found that the Best 2 of Last 3 Speed handicapping factor that has been productive in the one mile Grade 1 dirt stakes at The Great Race Place.

Half of the contenders ranking first in this factor have won, producing a healthy $39.90 Win Return, not to mention that 72% of the contenders have participated in the trifecta.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Best 2 of Last 3 Speed slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Fountain of Youth S. (G2) at Gulfstream Park
8.5F on Dirt (March 4)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 48 8.5-furlong graded dirt stakes at Gulfstream Park
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Best 2 of Last 3 Speed
Factor Stats: 52 contenders, 22 winners (42%, $44.20 Win Return, 142 ROI%), 27 place (71%, $29.40 Place Return, 46 Show (88%, $23.10 Show Return)

Saturday´s Fountain of Youth is the next step on the Gulfstream Park road to the Kentucky Derby and a typically competitive field of 10 is set to break from the starting gate.

We turned to the Betmix Angler online handicapping database and uncovered the Best 2 of Last 3 Speed handicapping factor that has produced some truly astonishing results in the 8.5 furlong graded dirt stakes in South Florida.

Some 42% of contenders ranking first in this factor have won, producing a healthy $44.20 Win Return and an increbible 88% have factored in the trifecta. Among the winners are two of the past three FOY heroes, Greatest Honour ($4.00) and Ete Indian ($8.60), and last month´s Holy Bull S. winner Rocket Can, who returns for the Fountain of Youth.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Best 2 of Last 3 Speed slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Rebel S. (G2) & Honeybee S. (G3) at Oaklawn Park
8.5F on Dirt (February 25)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 83 8.5-furlong graded stakes at Oaklawn Park
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Last 3 Turn Time
Factor Stats: 92 contenders, 22 winners (24%, $104.60 Win Return, 156 ROI%), 32 Place (34%), 53 Show (57%, $14.50 Show Return)

The train towards the Kentucky Derby weekend rolls on and gains steam with every passing week. Next stop: Oaklawn Park, host of Saturday's $1 million Rebel Stakes (G2) for colts with Derby aspirations and the Honeybee S. (G3) for fillies aiming for the lilies.

The Betmix Angler online handicapping database tells us that Avg. Last 3 Turn Time has produced 24% winners of the 8.5 furlong graded stakes in Hot Springs since 2012.

It's true that the wild $104.60 Win Return is due in large part to Super Steed, the 62-1 winner of the 2019 Southwest Stakes. However, this handicapping factor has pointed to two other recent Rebel winners - Magnum Moon ($8.00) in 2018 and Concert Tour ($5.40) in 2021. The latest success with this factor came just three weeks ago when A Mo Reay captured the Bayakoa S. for older distaffers, generating a $6.20 Win mutuel.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Last 3 Turn Time slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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Risen Star S. (G2) at Fair Grounds
9F on Dirt (February 18)
Horse Racing Data Analyzed: Last 21 9-furlong graded dirt stakes at Fair Grounds
Date Range: January 1, 2012 - Present
Sharp Angle: Ranked 1st in Avg. Last 3 Late Pace
Factor Stats: 22 contenders, 5 winners (22%, $44.60 Win Return, 201 ROI%), 8 Place (36% $13.60 Place Return) 14 show (63% $8.20 Show Return)

Saturday´s Risen Star Stakes has drawn an incredibly competitive field of 14 sophomores colts all vying for a Kentucky Derby berth.

The race begged for a deep dive into the Betmix Angler online handicapping database and we found that Avg. Last 3 Late Pace has been a predictive handicapping factor for the 9-furlong graded dirt stakes at Fair Grounds.

Among the recent winners ranking first in this handicapping factor is Modernist, the $27.60 winner of the 2nd division of the Risen Star in 2020, the first year this race was carded at 9 furlongs.

Find this race in Betmix Birddog and use the Avg. Last 3 Late Pace slider to see which horse ranks first in this factor. That’s the Sharp Angles play.

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